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Mana News

Will @firstuserhere author a bestselling book by the end of 2027? (10000 Mana subsidy)

Sep 19, 8:40 PMDec 31, 6:29 PM

4.64%chance

85208321

OptionVotes

YES

NO

49833

2798

Will there be a Wikipedia page on @firstuserhere by the end of 2026? ($1k Mana subsidy)

Sep 29, 7:00 AMDec 31, 6:29 PM

2.35%chance

72114465

OptionVotes

YES

NO

15315

596

[5000 Mana prize] What is the best "Human-solvable, machine-hard puzzle"

Nov 22, 4:37 AMFeb 8, 4:19 AM

2476721

OptionProbability

Other

Spatial CAPTCHA puzzles

Take a photo, split it into a 100x100 grid, scramble the pieces, and ask user to reconstruct the original

[[Place holder]]

85

9

5

1

MANA MERCH SHOP: Which designs will be added to the mana merch store?

Oct 22, 8:28 PMFeb 20, 7:40 PM

8433674

OptionProbability

The Manifold Logo

“Anti gambling gambling club” - by andri

Crane Hexes - by Pat Scott

Trustworthy-ish - by Pat Scott

“Put your Mana where your mouth is” - by MIMIR MAGNVS

“This meeting could have been a market” - by andri

“Calibrated measures” - by andri

“ I just lost mana because of that” - by andri

“my waifu / predicts the future" - Pat Scott

“It’s not 🤮crypto🤮 it’s play money” - by andri

97

77

76

73

66

62

44

43

38

15

Will Google Deepmind and OpenAI have a major collaborative initiative by the end of 2030? (1000 mana subsidy)

Jun 19, 7:06 AMDec 30, 9:39 PM

52.59%chance

767314

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2494

1805

Will there be more mana purchased in March 2026 than in December 2025?

Jan 11, 4:53 AMApr 1, 3:52 AM

52.29%chance

334593

OptionVotes

NO

YES

6295

3717

Will humanoid robots be commonplace in the US, by 2040? ($1k mana subsidy)

Nov 4, 1:01 PMJan 2, 6:29 PM

75.2%chance

363677

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2327

587

Will humanoid robots be commonplace in the US, by 2030? ($1k mana subsidy)

Nov 4, 1:01 PMJan 2, 6:29 PM

41.49%chance

323420

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1566

459

If AI wipes out humanity, will mana still have value afterwards?

Jul 13, 11:18 PMJan 2, 5:59 AM

48.11%chance

272291

OptionVotes

NO

YES

993

983

Will somebody managram me at least 1500 mana before market close?

Feb 2, 6:29 AMMar 2, 5:00 AM

39.07%chance

14794

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1249

801

I will pay everyone who trades on this market 10 mana

Aug 25, 4:02 AMJul 21, 5:59 AM

68.57%chance

91747

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1044

981

Will mana become less valuable by 2028? (Experimental)

Sep 11, 8:29 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

48.04%chance

260

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1040

961

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