Manas AI News

Will AI wipe out humanity by 2030? [resolves N/A in 2027]

Jul 28, 5:46 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

12.26%chance

321858480

OptionVotes

YES

6979

3610

Will GPT-5 make Manifold think very near-term AGI is more likely?

Mar 3, 1:41 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

11.29%chance

464116

OptionVotes

YES

2622

208

Can anyone beat me in the Pokemon Monotype Gauntlet? [Rock vs Fire round]

Jan 16, 3:57 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

5.35%chance

13994

OptionVotes

YES

4206

238

By 2040, will AI be capable of creating a working Manifold clone to a prompt?

Apr 19, 2:32 AMJan 1, 12:59 PM

67.73%chance

483498

OptionVotes

YES

1489

637

How to get rid of a nicotine addiction in one month?

Nov 28, 1:25 PMJun 23, 9:59 PM

63318

OptionProbability

Take a nicotine antagonist like Varenicline, Bupropion or Nortriptyline

Follow ChatGPT's advice: https://chatgpt.com/share/67486f18-6240-8013-8944-65759aafd2a7

Work with a professional

Replace Habit With Heavy Exercise

Altoids Smalls And Cold Water

Watch Huberman podcast: https://youtu.be/uXs-zPc63kM

Will an AI be able to beat me in Pokemon?

Aug 5, 2:16 PMAug 5, 1:38 PM

24.18%chance

122852

OptionVotes

YES

1771

565

If AI wipes out humanity, will mana still have value afterwards?

Jul 13, 11:18 PMJan 2, 5:59 AM

48.11%chance

272291

OptionVotes

YES

993

983

Will at least one of the "apocalypse markets" be resolved positively after the apocalypse?

Jun 10, 7:57 PMJan 1, 8:59 PM

30.2%chance

18910

OptionVotes

YES

1022

914

Will I let the AI out of the box?

Nov 23, 4:58 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM

25.39%chance

21701

OptionVotes

YES

1053

738

Will this market be influenced by AI trading bots? (Language models trained by OpenAI: buy YES)

Aug 21, 5:32 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

50.15%chance

10162

OptionVotes

YES

1005

994

420 mana for the first broadly accepted solution to AI alignment

Aug 12, 6:53 PMAug 13, 6:29 PM

Should Manifold "airdrop" all current users 10k Mana that can only be spent on opening new markets?

Apr 9, 4:48 AM

180

Manas AI News

Prediction markets for Manas AI

Prediction markets for Manas AI

Prediction markets for Manas AI

Will AI wipe out humanity by 2030? [resolves N/A in 2027]

Will GPT-5 make Manifold think very near-term AGI is more likely?

Can anyone beat me in the Pokemon Monotype Gauntlet? [Rock vs Fire round]

By 2040, will AI be capable of creating a working Manifold clone to a prompt?

How to get rid of a nicotine addiction in one month?

Will an AI be able to beat me in Pokemon?

If AI wipes out humanity, will mana still have value afterwards?

Will at least one of the "apocalypse markets" be resolved positively after the apocalypse?

Will I let the AI out of the box?

Will this market be influenced by AI trading bots? (Language models trained by OpenAI: buy YES)

420 mana for the first broadly accepted solution to AI alignment

Should Manifold "airdrop" all current users 10k Mana that can only be spent on opening new markets?

Latest stories