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Top stories

BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF Holds 781,000 BTC, Surpassing Exchanges; Strategy Leads Corporate Holders with 629,000 BTC

BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF Holds 781,000 BTC, Surpassing Exchanges; Strategy Leads Corporate Holders with 629,000 BTC

Authors

7

1 year ago

Prediction markets for MARA

Will I run a marathon in 2026?

Jan 2, 10:36 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

56.38%chance

152437

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1138

881

Humanoid robot breaks human marathon record before 2027?

Apr 19, 12:36 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

31.15%chance

412363

OptionVotes

YES

NO

149

67

Humanoid Robot Finishes a Half Marathon Under 2 Hours by 2030

Feb 4, 9:44 PMJan 2, 5:59 AM

99%chance

191705

OptionVotes

NO

YES

995

10

In what year will a bipedal robot break the human marathon world record time?

Mar 10, 4:59 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

141470

OptionProbability

2027

2026

2028

Other

2029

2030

2031

2025

35

19

13

11

9

7

4

2

Will at least one World Marathon Major be won under 2 hours every year until end of 2029?

Apr 26, 1:52 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

75.02%chance

271370

OptionVotes

NO

YES

610

430

Will marasi show up in mistborn era 3

Dec 22, 10:11 AMDec 29, 9:59 PM

72.59%chance

5717

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1628

614

Who will win the 2026 election for California's 40th State Senate district

Jul 2, 3:31 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

4600

OptionProbability

Mara Elliott

Kristie Bruce-Lane

Ed Musgrove

Marni von Wilpert

Other

58

30

8

3

1

How low will the Marathon World Record go before the end of 2026?

May 16, 5:54 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

7391

OptionProbability

Below 1:59:20

Below 1:59:10

Below 1:59:00

Below 1:59:30

Below 1:58:30

Below 1:58:00

Below 1:57:30

Below 1:57:00

50

50

50

48

46

28

23

15

Moon marathon before 2100

Oct 19, 5:55 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

32.01%chance

9212

OptionVotes

YES

NO

264

205

Sub-1:59 marathon before LA Olympics?

Apr 27, 2:44 PMJul 13, 11:59 PM

35.21%chance

6165

OptionVotes

YES

NO

136

74

Is 7A+ harder than marathon?

Oct 25, 9:50 AMDec 31, 9:06 AM

75.27%chance

6144

OptionVotes

NO

YES

174

57

Mars marathon before 2100

Oct 19, 5:56 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

58%chance

7118

OptionVotes

NO

YES

165

89

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