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Top stories

BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF Holds 781,000 BTC, Surpassing Exchanges; Strategy Leads Corporate Holders with 629,000 BTC

BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF Holds 781,000 BTC, Surpassing Exchanges; Strategy Leads Corporate Holders with 629,000 BTC

Authors

7

1 year ago

Prediction markets for MARA

Will I run a marathon in 2026?

Jan 2, 10:36 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

56.38%chance

152437

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1138

881

Humanoid Robot Finishes a Half Marathon Under 2 Hours by 2030

Feb 4, 9:44 PMJan 2, 5:59 AM

95.71%chance

202231

OptionVotes

NO

YES

472

21

In what year will a bipedal robot break the human marathon world record time?

Mar 10, 4:59 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

201861

OptionProbability

2027

2028

2026

Other

2029

2030

2031

2025

37

19

15

10

8

6

4

2

Will at least one World Marathon Major be won under 2 hours every year until end of 2029?

Apr 26, 1:52 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

75.02%chance

271370

OptionVotes

NO

YES

610

430

How low will the Marathon World Record go before the end of 2026?

May 16, 5:54 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

11925

OptionProbability

Below 1:59:30

Below 1:59:20

Below 1:59:10

Below 1:59:00

Below 1:58:30

Below 1:58:00

Below 1:57:30

Below 1:57:00

60

53

43

36

24

13

12

9

Will marasi show up in mistborn era 3

Dec 22, 10:11 AMDec 29, 9:59 PM

72.59%chance

5717

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1628

614

Who will win the 2026 election for California's 40th State Senate district

Jul 2, 3:31 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

4600

OptionProbability

Mara Elliott

Kristie Bruce-Lane

Ed Musgrove

Marni von Wilpert

Other

58

30

8

3

1

Sub-1:58 marathon before LA Olympics?

Apr 27, 2:45 PMJul 13, 11:59 PM

13.16%chance

6475

OptionVotes

YES

NO

257

39

Moon marathon before 2100

Oct 19, 5:55 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

32.01%chance

9212

OptionVotes

YES

NO

264

205

Mars marathon before 2100

Oct 19, 5:56 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

58%chance

7118

OptionVotes

NO

YES

165

89

Will a human win the annual 2026 Human vs Horse "Marathon" Race?

Jun 30, 3:20 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

55.45%chance

672

OptionVotes

NO

YES

112

90

Will the Barkley Marathons be able to preserve its safety record through 2033

Sep 21, 5:58 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM

47.59%chance

120

OptionVotes

NO

YES

70

70

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