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Prediction markets for Marathon

Will I run a marathon in 2026?

Jan 2, 10:36 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

56.38%chance

152437

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1138

881

Humanoid robot breaks human marathon record before 2027?

Apr 19, 12:36 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

31.15%chance

412363

OptionVotes

YES

NO

149

67

Humanoid Robot Finishes a Half Marathon Under 2 Hours by 2030

Feb 4, 9:44 PMJan 2, 5:59 AM

99%chance

191705

OptionVotes

NO

YES

995

10

In what year will a bipedal robot break the human marathon world record time?

Mar 10, 4:59 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

141470

OptionProbability

2027

2026

2028

Other

2029

2030

2031

2025

35

19

13

11

9

7

4

2

Will at least one World Marathon Major be won under 2 hours every year until end of 2029?

Apr 26, 1:52 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

75.02%chance

271370

OptionVotes

NO

YES

610

430

How low will the Marathon World Record go before the end of 2026?

May 16, 5:54 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

7391

OptionProbability

Below 1:59:20

Below 1:59:10

Below 1:59:00

Below 1:59:30

Below 1:58:30

Below 1:58:00

Below 1:57:30

Below 1:57:00

50

50

50

48

46

28

23

15

Moon marathon before 2100

Oct 19, 5:55 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

32.01%chance

9212

OptionVotes

YES

NO

264

205

Sub-1:59 marathon before LA Olympics?

Apr 27, 2:44 PMJul 13, 11:59 PM

35.21%chance

6165

OptionVotes

YES

NO

136

74

Is 7A+ harder than marathon?

Oct 25, 9:50 AMDec 31, 9:06 AM

75.27%chance

6144

OptionVotes

NO

YES

174

57

Mars marathon before 2100

Oct 19, 5:56 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

58%chance

7118

OptionVotes

NO

YES

165

89

Will a human win the annual 2026 Human vs Horse "Marathon" Race?

Jun 30, 3:20 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

55.45%chance

672

OptionVotes

NO

YES

112

90

Will the Barkley Marathons still be run in something like its current form in the year 2033?

May 2, 5:55 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM

61.82%chance

642

OptionVotes

NO

YES

104

79

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