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Prediction markets for Marathon

Will I run a marathon in 2026?

Jan 2, 10:36 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

12.06%chance

165095

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2703

371

Humanoid Robot Finishes a Half Marathon Under 2 Hours by 2030

Feb 4, 9:44 PMJan 2, 5:59 AM

95.71%chance

202231

OptionVotes

NO

YES

472

21

How low will the Marathon World Record go before the end of 2026?

May 16, 5:54 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

141978

OptionProbability

Below 1:59:30

Below 1:59:20

Below 1:59:10

Below 1:59:00

Below 1:58:30

Below 1:58:00

Below 1:57:30

Below 1:57:00

34

28

17

14

12

9

9

7

In what year will a bipedal robot break the human marathon world record time?

Mar 10, 4:59 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

201871

OptionProbability

2027

2028

2026

Other

2029

2030

2031

2025

35

19

15

10

9

6

4

2

Will at least one World Marathon Major be won under 2 hours every year until end of 2029?

Apr 26, 1:52 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

73.65%chance

271380

OptionVotes

NO

YES

581

440

Half marathon humanoid record time for EOY 2027

Apr 23, 6:38 AMApr 23, 2:59 PM

6992

OptionProbability

26 - 31.9

20 - 25.9

32 - 37.9

38 - 43.9

Below 20

44 - 50

Above 50

21

18

18

18

14

7

4

Sub-1:58 marathon before LA Olympics?

Apr 27, 2:45 PMJul 13, 11:59 PM

12%chance

6635

OptionVotes

YES

NO

271

37

Moon marathon before 2100

Oct 19, 5:55 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

32.01%chance

9212

OptionVotes

YES

NO

264

205

Is 7A+ harder than marathon?

Oct 25, 9:50 AMDec 31, 9:06 AM

56.74%chance

7174

OptionVotes

NO

YES

115

87

Mars marathon before 2100

Oct 19, 5:56 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

58%chance

7118

OptionVotes

NO

YES

165

89

Will the Barkley Marathons still be run in something like its current form in the year 2033?

May 2, 5:55 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM

69.02%chance

662

OptionVotes

NO

YES

124

68

Will the Barkley Marathons be able to preserve its safety record through 2033

Sep 21, 5:58 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM

47.59%chance

120

OptionVotes

NO

YES

70

70

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