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Prediction markets for March Capital

Which Model numbers will OpenAI release as a flagship before adding a letter (e.g. ‘o’ in 4o, o1)

Feb 6, 11:09 PMFeb 6, 10:38 PM

101408

OptionProbability

5.4

5.5

5.6

6

6.5

7

5.7

5.8

5.9

100

100

100

100

46

45

3

3

2

Will Denmark implement a wealth tax by end of 2027?

Mar 18, 10:12 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

16.16%chance

71278

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2278

439

Will an AI generate $1M in profit by the end of 2029?

Jul 22, 10:44 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

66.91%chance

7487

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1319

797

Will I visit Plant City in 2026?

Jan 14, 1:39 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

15.09%chance

5330

OptionVotes

YES

NO

237

42

Will MSFT acquire/merge with OpenAI by the end of 2027?

Apr 1, 4:49 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

20%chance

8261

OptionVotes

YES

NO

200

50

Will Cameco 2027 free cash flow exceed 500M CAD?

Feb 20, 4:26 PMMar 31, 4:00 AM

68.86%chance

3165

OptionVotes

NO

YES

149

67

Will Serra Verde MREC production for the 6 months ending September 2026 exceed 1500 t?

Mar 30, 9:14 PMDec 31, 5:00 AM

76.78%chance

2105

OptionVotes

NO

YES

182

55

Will Serra Verde MREC production for the 6 months ending March 2027 exceed 1500 t?

Mar 30, 9:15 PMJun 30, 4:00 AM

76.78%chance

2105

OptionVotes

NO

YES

182

55

Will Cameco 2030 free cash flow exceed 800M CAD?

Feb 20, 4:26 PMMar 31, 4:00 AM

67.61%chance

293

OptionVotes

NO

YES

144

69

Will Serra Verde MREC production for the 6 months ending September 2026 exceed 8000 t?

Mar 30, 9:15 PMDec 31, 5:00 AM

45.66%chance

275

OptionVotes

YES

NO

109

92

Will Serra Verde MREC production for the 6 months ending March 2027 exceed 8000 t?

Mar 30, 9:16 PMJun 30, 4:00 AM

45.8%chance

245

OptionVotes

YES

NO

109

92

Will Meta's reported 2026 full-year AI/data-center capex be at least $130B?

Apr 29, 8:54 AMFeb 28, 10:00 PM

57.76%chance

326

OptionVotes

NO

YES

126

75

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