Margin News

NO

Tom Steyer and Steve hilton

R+ >0% to <= 2%

D+ >=0% to <2%

R+ >2% to <= 4%

D+ >= 4%

D+ >=2% to <4%

Above $1,000,000

Above $800,000

Above $900,000

Above $500,000

Above $600,000

Above $700,000

Above $400,000

Above $300,000

Above $100,000

Above $200,000

180 or fewer (0-180)

160 or fewer (0-160)

140 or fewer (0-140)

120 or fewer (0-120)

100 or fewer (0-100)

80 or fewer (0-80)

60 or fewer (0-60)

40 or fewer (0-40)

20 or fewer (0-20)

NO

35.0-44.9% & D +2.4 to R +2.4 (voters unsatisfied for 4th election in a row)

35.0-44.9% & D +2.5 or more (Trump meh, Dems chose better candidate)

35.0-44.9% & R +2.5 or more (Trump meh, Reps chose better candidate)

≥45% & R +2.5 or more (Trump good)

≤34.9% & D +2.4 to R +2.4 (ultrapolarized negative partisanship, Democracy is cooked)

≥45% & D +2.4 to R +2.4 (less polarization?)

≤34.9% & D +2.5 or more (Trump bad)

≤34.9% & R +2.5 or more (Trump bad, Republicans good)

Wet weather // D wins by 0%-2% margin

Dry weather // D wins by 0%-2% margin

Wet weather // R wins by > 4% margin

Wet weather // R wins by 2%-4% margin

Wet weather // R wins by 0%-2% margin

Wet weather // D wins by 2%-4% margin

Wet weather // D wins by > 4% margin

Dry weather // R wins by > 4% margin

Dry weather // R wins by 2%-4% margin

Dry weather // R wins by 0%-2% margin

Dry weather // D wins by 2%-4% margin

>= -135%

>= -150%

>= -30%

>= -45%

>=-60%

>= -75%

>= -90%

>= -105%

>= -120%

>= -15%

YES

YES

0 - 24,999

25,000 - 49,999

50,000 - 74,999

75,000 - 99,999