Market on Open News
Prediction markets for Market on Open
Will Anthropic have a higher market cap than OpenAI after both IPO?
Jan 31, 9:12 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
62.05%chance
13446712
OptionVotes
13288
7276
OpenAI completes an IPO in 2027 and has a market cap of $1.5trillion+?
Oct 1, 8:56 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
48.77%chance
3512048
OptionVotes
1025
976
OpenAI completes an IPO in 2026 and has a market cap of $1 trillion+?
May 22, 5:45 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
2.9%chance
319106
OptionVotes
4794
95
OptionProbability
55
20
10
6
6
2
1
OptionProbability
100
100
100
100
100
66
0
Will openAI retain >50% chatbot market share through 2030?
Dec 8, 2:01 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
31.94%chance
16907
OptionVotes
1460
685
OptionProbability
90
85
72
60
50
40
39
30
27
25
8
Will this market be influenced by AI trading bots? (Language models trained by OpenAI: buy YES)
Aug 21, 5:32 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
57.11%chance
14413
OptionVotes
1156
864
Temperature market 🌡 : OpenAI business is good and aligned with humanity flurishing.
Feb 11, 8:15 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM
33.6%chance
20401
OptionVotes
1061
961
OptionProbability
72
63
55
55
55
55
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
41
41
41
41
OpenAI will acheive market dominance with GPT (AKA monopoly) and then INCREASE prices within the next 10 years
Jul 18, 6:19 AMJul 25, 6:59 AM
27.28%chance
495
OptionVotes
163
61

