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Prediction markets for Market Rebellion

Will Trump invoke the Insurrection Act during his second term?

Mar 5, 4:55 PMJan 21, 3:59 AM

47.16%chance

15774690

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1079

887

When’s the next American rebellion? 🇺🇸🔥👊🔫

Feb 18, 3:55 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

216296

OptionProbability

Other

2027

2026

2024

2025

74

17

7

1

1

Chechnya confronts Russia before the end of Russia-Ukraine war?

Jul 8, 9:28 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

13.88%chance

394493

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2013

734

Was the Wagner Group’s rebellion in June 2023 a strategic ruse staged by Russian leadership?

Jun 26, 4:36 PMDec 31, 3:59 PM

7.9%chance

19967

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1525

902

Will there be a robot uprising by 2035?

Dec 21, 10:57 PMJan 1, 6:59 AM

9.8%chance

30869

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1418

915

Will two countries led by women engage in war before 2100?

Feb 23, 4:42 AMJan 1, 3:59 AM

60.08%chance

22617

OptionVotes

NO

YES

166

101

Will the revolution be televised?

Jul 25, 1:43 PMNov 1, 10:59 PM

44.52%chance

5260

OptionVotes

NO

YES

90

87

Will any US state use the 14th Amendment to successfully disqualify a candidate for state office by 2028?

Mar 4, 8:43 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

41.64%chance

5173

OptionVotes

YES

NO

221

183

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