Market Services News

Tesla has more fully autonomous rides than Waymo in 2026?

Jun 11, 5:06 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

12.59%chance

498762200

OptionVotes

YES

26364

3798

In what year will Tesla's robotaxi become commercially operational in the US?

May 27, 4:25 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

140174415

OptionProbability

2026

2027

2028

2029

2030

Other

2024

2025

What will be the official cause(s) of the Air India Flight 171 crash?

Jun 13, 6:55 AMJun 30, 6:43 AM

17074531

OptionProbability

Pilot Action: Pilot action was a primary cause of the crash.

Design/Manufacturing Defect: A Boeing design or manufacturing defect was a primary cause of the crash.

Maintenance/Fueling Lapse: An Air India maintenance or fueling lapse was a primary cause of the crash.

Will good quality personalised AI novels be instantly and cheaply available by the end of 2027?

Jun 27, 3:49 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

39.57%chance

16940406

OptionVotes

YES

1882

1004

Will Twitter incorporate a prediction market into its platform by 2027?

Oct 29, 4:57 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

47.41%chance

21924219

OptionVotes

YES

3670

983

Space datacenter industry generates $100M+ annual revenue by December 31, 2029

Oct 31, 7:30 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

26.54%chance

2312712

OptionVotes

YES

1665

601

Will Waymo One expand its SF Bay Area service area to Marin County by December 31, 2026?

Jan 3, 9:53 PMDec 31, 12:00 AM

66.02%chance

647730

OptionVotes

YES

13908

7205

Storage devices with neural networks pre-loaded sold in major electronics retailers by end of 2035

Jan 5, 5:22 PMDec 31, 12:00 AM

29.98%chance

217286

OptionVotes

YES

15272

6552

AI bubble pops in 2026?

Nov 10, 12:41 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

27.3%chance

587229

OptionVotes

YES

3171

2564

Will the NWS stop providing weather forecasts before 2027?

Feb 4, 8:45 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

8.59%chance

187032

OptionVotes

YES

5849

1061

Federal government fellowship approximating discontinued PMF program opens applications by EOY2030?

Apr 20, 6:28 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

52.62%chance

9702

OptionVotes

YES

10538

9489

Which country will next change its national electrical frequency after 2025?

Aug 22, 11:27 AMDec 30, 11:59 PM

OptionProbability

Japan

South Korea

Philippines

Other

Market Services News

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Prediction markets for Market Services

Tesla has more fully autonomous rides than Waymo in 2026?

In what year will Tesla's robotaxi become commercially operational in the US?

What will be the official cause(s) of the Air India Flight 171 crash?

Will good quality personalised AI novels be instantly and cheaply available by the end of 2027?

Will Twitter incorporate a prediction market into its platform by 2027?

Space datacenter industry generates $100M+ annual revenue by December 31, 2029

Will Waymo One expand its SF Bay Area service area to Marin County by December 31, 2026?

Storage devices with neural networks pre-loaded sold in major electronics retailers by end of 2035

AI bubble pops in 2026?

Will the NWS stop providing weather forecasts before 2027?

Federal government fellowship approximating discontinued PMF program opens applications by EOY2030?

Which country will next change its national electrical frequency after 2025?

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