Market Services News

Tesla has more fully autonomous rides than Waymo in 2026?

Jun 11, 5:06 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

4.5%chance

5621045650

OptionVotes

YES

46103

2172

In what year will Tesla's robotaxi become commercially operational in the US?

May 27, 4:25 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

143189907

OptionProbability

2026

2027

2028

2025

2029

2030

Other

2024

What will be the official cause(s) of the Air India Flight 171 crash?

Jun 13, 6:55 AMJun 30, 6:43 AM

17984322

OptionProbability

Pilot Action: Pilot action was a primary cause of the crash.

Design/Manufacturing Defect: A Boeing design or manufacturing defect was a primary cause of the crash.

Maintenance/Fueling Lapse: An Air India maintenance or fueling lapse was a primary cause of the crash.

Will good quality personalised AI novels be instantly and cheaply available by the end of 2027?

Jun 27, 3:49 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

60%chance

17245335

OptionVotes

YES

1585

1297

Will Waymo One expand its SF Bay Area service area to Marin County by December 31, 2026?

Jan 3, 9:53 PMDec 31, 12:00 AM

69.37%chance

8025385

OptionVotes

YES

15021

6674

Will Twitter incorporate a prediction market into its platform by 2027?

Oct 29, 4:57 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

28.06%chance

22525287

OptionVotes

YES

3118

1930

AI bubble pops in 2026?

Nov 10, 12:41 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

15.06%chance

8213590

OptionVotes

YES

5293

2022

Tesla has more fully autonomous rides than Waymo in 2027?

Sep 2, 8:00 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

40.43%chance

121750

OptionVotes

YES

4095

1814

Federal government fellowship approximating discontinued PMF program opens applications by EOY2030?

Apr 20, 6:28 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

52.62%chance

9702

OptionVotes

YES

10538

9489

By 2032, will Peacock (the NBC streaming service) license Katy Perry’s “Peacock” for any official marketing material?

May 5, 5:16 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

53.39%chance

562

OptionVotes

YES

107

Which country will next change its national electrical frequency after 2025?

Aug 22, 11:27 AMDec 30, 11:59 PM

OptionProbability

Japan

South Korea

Philippines

Other

When will my app WalkYourTime reach the first 100 downloads?

Apr 7, 9:41 AMFeb 1, 9:59 PM

OptionProbability

May-Aug 2026

Sep-Dec 2026

Jan-Apr 2027

May-Aug 2027

Sep-Dec 2027

Jan-Apr 2028

May-Aug 2028

Sep-Dec 2028

Jan-Apr 2029

May-Aug 2029

Sep-Dec 2029

Market Services News

Prediction markets for Market Services

Prediction markets for Market Services

Prediction markets for Market Services

Tesla has more fully autonomous rides than Waymo in 2026?

In what year will Tesla's robotaxi become commercially operational in the US?

What will be the official cause(s) of the Air India Flight 171 crash?

Will good quality personalised AI novels be instantly and cheaply available by the end of 2027?

Will Waymo One expand its SF Bay Area service area to Marin County by December 31, 2026?

Will Twitter incorporate a prediction market into its platform by 2027?

AI bubble pops in 2026?

Tesla has more fully autonomous rides than Waymo in 2027?

Federal government fellowship approximating discontinued PMF program opens applications by EOY2030?

By 2032, will Peacock (the NBC streaming service) license Katy Perry’s “Peacock” for any official marketing material?

Which country will next change its national electrical frequency after 2025?

When will my app WalkYourTime reach the first 100 downloads?

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