Market Services News

Will Tesla have more fully autonomous rides in 2025 than Waymo?

May 22, 12:37 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

8.89%chance

196453015

OptionVotes

YES

17800

3374

Tesla has more fully autonomous rides than Waymo in 2026?

Jun 11, 5:06 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

44.27%chance

149119541

OptionVotes

YES

11219

8914

What will be the official cause(s) of the Air India Flight 171 crash?

Jun 13, 6:55 AMJun 30, 6:43 AM

16649368

OptionProbability

Pilot Action: Pilot action was a primary cause of the crash.

Design/Manufacturing Defect: A Boeing design or manufacturing defect was a primary cause of the crash.

Maintenance/Fueling Lapse: An Air India maintenance or fueling lapse was a primary cause of the crash.

Will good quality personalised AI novels be instantly and cheaply available by the end of 2027?

Jun 27, 3:49 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

44.44%chance

15835470

OptionVotes

YES

1721

1121

Is establishing a truth economy that produces more than 50% of the global GDP before AI fooms critical to survival?

May 18, 4:27 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

39.34%chance

7433886

OptionVotes

YES

1242

805

Will Twitter incorporate a prediction market into its platform by 2027?

Oct 29, 4:57 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

57.01%chance

21522419

OptionVotes

YES

3956

720

Storage devices with neural networks pre-loaded sold in major electronics retailers by end of 2035

Jan 5, 5:22 PMDec 31, 12:00 AM

30.11%chance

197235

OptionVotes

YES

15224

6573

Will Waymo One expand its SF Bay Area service area to Marin County by December 31, 2026?

Jan 3, 9:53 PMDec 31, 12:00 AM

63.71%chance

596835

OptionVotes

YES

13221

7577

9. Robotaxi services will win double-digit market share in ride-hailing in at least 5 major U.S. cities.

Dec 27, 8:23 AMJan 3, 10:59 PM

21.67%chance

302549

OptionVotes

YES

1901

526

Will the price of Nintendo Switch Online increase in 2025?

Jan 1, 2:51 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

20%chance

101849

OptionVotes

YES

2000

500

Will AWS remain the market share leader in cloud infrastructure services by Q4 2025?

Mar 22, 11:27 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

89.79%chance

141197

OptionVotes

YES

1891

832

Federal government fellowship approximating discontinued PMF program opens applications by EOY2030?

Apr 20, 6:28 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

52.62%chance

9702

OptionVotes

YES

10538

9489

Market Services News

Prediction markets for Market Services

Prediction markets for Market Services

Prediction markets for Market Services

Will Tesla have more fully autonomous rides in 2025 than Waymo?

Tesla has more fully autonomous rides than Waymo in 2026?

What will be the official cause(s) of the Air India Flight 171 crash?

Will good quality personalised AI novels be instantly and cheaply available by the end of 2027?

Is establishing a truth economy that produces more than 50% of the global GDP before AI fooms critical to survival?

Will Twitter incorporate a prediction market into its platform by 2027?

Storage devices with neural networks pre-loaded sold in major electronics retailers by end of 2035

Will Waymo One expand its SF Bay Area service area to Marin County by December 31, 2026?

9. Robotaxi services will win double-digit market share in ride-hailing in at least 5 major U.S. cities.

Will the price of Nintendo Switch Online increase in 2025?

Will AWS remain the market share leader in cloud infrastructure services by Q4 2025?

Federal government fellowship approximating discontinued PMF program opens applications by EOY2030?

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