Market Services News

Tesla has more fully autonomous rides than Waymo in 2026?

Jun 11, 5:06 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

9.76%chance

540866797

OptionVotes

YES

30427

3291

In what year will Tesla's robotaxi become commercially operational in the US?

May 27, 4:25 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

140175462

OptionProbability

2026

2027

2028

2029

2030

Other

2024

2025

What will be the official cause(s) of the Air India Flight 171 crash?

Jun 13, 6:55 AMJun 30, 6:43 AM

17280548

OptionProbability

Pilot Action: Pilot action was a primary cause of the crash.

Design/Manufacturing Defect: A Boeing design or manufacturing defect was a primary cause of the crash.

Maintenance/Fueling Lapse: An Air India maintenance or fueling lapse was a primary cause of the crash.

Will good quality personalised AI novels be instantly and cheaply available by the end of 2027?

Jun 27, 3:49 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

60%chance

17243865

OptionVotes

YES

1585

1297

Will Twitter incorporate a prediction market into its platform by 2027?

Oct 29, 4:57 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

36.66%chance

22324701

OptionVotes

YES

3367

1404

AI bubble pops in 2026?

Nov 10, 12:41 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

20%chance

7210411

OptionVotes

YES

4186

2254

Will Waymo One expand its SF Bay Area service area to Marin County by December 31, 2026?

Jan 3, 9:53 PMDec 31, 12:00 AM

55.37%chance

659769

OptionVotes

YES

11107

9009

Storage devices with neural networks pre-loaded sold in major electronics retailers by end of 2035

Jan 5, 5:22 PMDec 31, 12:00 AM

29.98%chance

217286

OptionVotes

YES

15272

6552

Federal government fellowship approximating discontinued PMF program opens applications by EOY2030?

Apr 20, 6:28 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

52.62%chance

9702

OptionVotes

YES

10538

9489

By 2032, will Peacock (the NBC streaming service) license Katy Perry’s “Peacock” for any official marketing material?

May 5, 5:16 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

53.39%chance

562

OptionVotes

YES

107

When will my app WalkYourTime reach the first 100 downloads?

Apr 7, 9:41 AMFeb 1, 9:59 PM

OptionProbability

May-Aug 2026

Sep-Dec 2026

Jan-Apr 2027

May-Aug 2027

Sep-Dec 2027

Jan-Apr 2028

May-Aug 2028

Sep-Dec 2028

Jan-Apr 2029

May-Aug 2029

Sep-Dec 2029

Which country will next change its national electrical frequency after 2025?

Aug 22, 11:27 AMDec 30, 11:59 PM

OptionProbability

Japan

South Korea

Philippines

Other

Market Services News

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Prediction markets for Market Services

Tesla has more fully autonomous rides than Waymo in 2026?

In what year will Tesla's robotaxi become commercially operational in the US?

What will be the official cause(s) of the Air India Flight 171 crash?

Will good quality personalised AI novels be instantly and cheaply available by the end of 2027?

Will Twitter incorporate a prediction market into its platform by 2027?

AI bubble pops in 2026?

Will Waymo One expand its SF Bay Area service area to Marin County by December 31, 2026?

Storage devices with neural networks pre-loaded sold in major electronics retailers by end of 2035

Federal government fellowship approximating discontinued PMF program opens applications by EOY2030?

By 2032, will Peacock (the NBC streaming service) license Katy Perry’s “Peacock” for any official marketing material?

When will my app WalkYourTime reach the first 100 downloads?

Which country will next change its national electrical frequency after 2025?

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