Market Services News

Tesla has more fully autonomous rides than Waymo in 2026?

Jun 11, 5:06 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

30.92%chance

407581338

OptionVotes

YES

14959

6694

In what year will Tesla's robotaxi become commercially operational in the US?

May 27, 4:25 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

137168564

OptionProbability

2026

2027

2028

2029

Other

2030

2024

2025

What will be the official cause(s) of the Air India Flight 171 crash?

Jun 13, 6:55 AMJun 30, 6:43 AM

17074531

OptionProbability

Pilot Action: Pilot action was a primary cause of the crash.

Design/Manufacturing Defect: A Boeing design or manufacturing defect was a primary cause of the crash.

Maintenance/Fueling Lapse: An Air India maintenance or fueling lapse was a primary cause of the crash.

Will good quality personalised AI novels be instantly and cheaply available by the end of 2027?

Jun 27, 3:49 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

45%chance

16740007

OptionVotes

YES

1703

1135

Is establishing a truth economy that produces more than 50% of the global GDP before AI fooms critical to survival?

May 18, 4:27 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

34.1%chance

7636038

OptionVotes

YES

1413

731

Will Twitter incorporate a prediction market into its platform by 2027?

Oct 29, 4:57 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

47.41%chance

21924219

OptionVotes

YES

3670

983

Will Waymo One expand its SF Bay Area service area to Marin County by December 31, 2026?

Jan 3, 9:53 PMDec 31, 12:00 AM

66.08%chance

637720

OptionVotes

YES

13928

7195

Storage devices with neural networks pre-loaded sold in major electronics retailers by end of 2035

Jan 5, 5:22 PMDec 31, 12:00 AM

29.98%chance

217286

OptionVotes

YES

15272

6552

Will the NWS stop providing weather forecasts before 2027?

Feb 4, 8:45 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

9.82%chance

166421

OptionVotes

YES

5309

1116

AI bubble pops in 2026?

Nov 10, 12:41 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

25.01%chance

475555

OptionVotes

YES

3438

2470

Federal government fellowship approximating discontinued PMF program opens applications by EOY2030?

Apr 20, 6:28 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

52.62%chance

9702

OptionVotes

YES

10538

9489

Which country will next change its national electrical frequency after 2025?

Aug 22, 11:27 AMDec 30, 11:59 PM

OptionProbability

Japan

South Korea

Philippines

Other

Market Services News

Prediction markets for Market Services

Prediction markets for Market Services

Prediction markets for Market Services

Tesla has more fully autonomous rides than Waymo in 2026?

In what year will Tesla's robotaxi become commercially operational in the US?

What will be the official cause(s) of the Air India Flight 171 crash?

Will good quality personalised AI novels be instantly and cheaply available by the end of 2027?

Is establishing a truth economy that produces more than 50% of the global GDP before AI fooms critical to survival?

Will Twitter incorporate a prediction market into its platform by 2027?

Will Waymo One expand its SF Bay Area service area to Marin County by December 31, 2026?

Storage devices with neural networks pre-loaded sold in major electronics retailers by end of 2035

Will the NWS stop providing weather forecasts before 2027?

AI bubble pops in 2026?

Federal government fellowship approximating discontinued PMF program opens applications by EOY2030?

Which country will next change its national electrical frequency after 2025?

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