Marketplace News

YES

Ship-of-Theseus'd into a new website

People lose interest in it and stop using the site

Not with a bang but a whimper

As a consequence of a global catastrophe (nuclear war, hostile AI takeover, etc.)

with thunderous applause

Manifold is eternal

They go bankrupt

Bought by a large corporation but later shut down for not being profitable

Bought by a large corporation & monetized to death

Once big enough to be noticed, regulators either shut them down or hobble them into irrelevance

Founders are disappointed in slow/no/negative growth and shut Manifold down.

Other

Overall bans on prediction markets by major governments

Outcompeted in the online marketplace

A lover's quarrel

Shut down by the U.S. federal government

Heat death

Founders shut down Manifold due to community drama

Erotic auto-asphyxiation

destroyed by great hwan empire

YES

YES

YES

NO

0-20%

61-80%

81-100%

41-60%

YES

YES

NO

NO

YES