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Top stories

Labor-Data Worries Mount as White House Ousts BLS Chief

US Gov Appointments

US Domestic Policy

Labor-Data Worries Mount as White House Ousts BLS Chief

Authors

5

1 year ago

Bessent Says Fed Independence Hinges on Public Trust, Credits Trump

US Domestic Policy

Bessent Says Fed Independence Hinges on Public Trust, Credits Trump

Authors

12

1 year ago

Prediction markets for MarketWatch

Will the price of oil reach $150 before the end of 2026?

Oct 29, 6:28 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

15.27%chance

14544002

OptionVotes

YES

NO

10735

3076

Us market crash in 2026?

Jan 10, 6:42 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

14%chance

311856

OptionVotes

YES

NO

248

40

Will TSLA reach $900 before 2028

Feb 9, 5:36 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

41.63%chance

15930

OptionVotes

YES

NO

118

84

2026 U.S. Stock Market: How will the S&P500 performance in 2026?

Dec 15, 11:29 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

18889

OptionProbability

Up 5% to 14%

Up 4% or less

Down 4% or less

Down 5% to 14%

Up 15% to 24%

Up 25% or more

Down 15% to 24%

Down 25% or more

25

20

19

18

10

3

2

2

Will the gold price drop below $3k/ounce in 2026?

Feb 9, 4:29 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

9.32%chance

13558

OptionVotes

YES

NO

312

32

Will the price of silver fall below $30/ oz by end of 2026

Feb 19, 7:01 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

20%chance

17431

OptionVotes

YES

NO

200

50

Will the gold price drop below $3.5k/ounce in 2026?

Feb 9, 4:23 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

31%chance

16393

OptionVotes

YES

NO

149

67

$SOFI at $100 by EOY 2031?

Jul 2, 4:38 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

37.9%chance

458

OptionVotes

YES

NO

128

78

Will WTI crude oil close at or below $65 before October 1, 2026?

Aug 4, 7:53 PMSep 30, 11:59 PM

28.91%chance

223

OptionVotes

YES

NO

120

91

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