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Will there be a larger amount of mass intentionally sent “downhill” to Earth from space than “uphill” in 2050?

Jan 17, 12:00 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

38.06%chance

2713596

OptionVotes

YES

NO

12765

7830

Will there be a massive internet outage before 2028?

Oct 21, 1:54 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

44.53%chance

356596

OptionVotes

YES

NO

11161

8960

Did the IDF bury hundreds of Palestinian civilians in mass graves near Nasser and Al-Shifa hospitals?

Apr 24, 2:46 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

29%chance

756080

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2300

2259

Will more than 10,000 people die as a result of Trump's mass deportations?

Nov 8, 7:08 PMFeb 2, 7:59 AM

8.69%chance

335164

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5658

1256

TRUE or FALSE: “Masturbation is good for you”

Dec 14, 8:32 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

71.28%chance

264272

OptionVotes

NO

YES

4207

2318

[ACX 2026] Will restrictions on the use of the Traditional Latin Mass in the Catholic Church be loosened during 2026?

Jan 7, 12:08 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

11.4%chance

184106

OptionVotes

YES

NO

6169

4916

Will Mastodon have more Monthly Active Users than Twitter in 2030?

Nov 25, 9:28 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

18%chance

331723

OptionVotes

NO

YES

999

822

Will at least one >80% subsaharan ancestry country score above Ukraine on PISA for at least one year before 2100 without mass genetic enhancement?

Jan 17, 10:38 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

33.88%chance

241370

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1779

1135

¿Que partido logrará más escaños el 29 n en España?

Oct 10, 3:45 PMNov 29, 11:59 PM

312

OptionProbability

PP

PSOE

Algún partido a la derecha del PP

Algún partido a la izquierda del PSOE

27

27

27

20

Who will win Massachusetts in the 2028 Republican presidential primaries?

Nov 5, 11:15 PMJun 30, 12:00 PM

00

OptionProbability

Other

JD Vance

Marco Rubio

Ron DeSantis

44

27

18

12

Who will win Massachusetts in the 2028 Democratic presidential primaries?

Nov 5, 11:15 PMJun 30, 12:00 PM

00

OptionProbability

Other

Jon Ossoff

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

Gavin Newsom

57

20

13

10

Who will win the 2030 Massachusetts Governor’s Race?

Nov 7, 11:19 AMNov 5, 11:59 PM

00

OptionProbability

Maura Healy

Kim Driscoll

Andrea Campbell

Michelle Wu

Ayanna Pressley

Jake Auchincloss

Seth Moulton

Geoff Diehl

Mike Minogue

Other

10

10

10

10

10

10

10

10

10

10

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