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Prediction markets for Max

Will Portland MAX light rail extend to Vancouver WA before end of 2030

Sep 26, 10:25 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

3.44%chance

1290517

OptionVotes

YES

NO

53554

1967

Will Portland MAX light rail extend to Vancouver WA before end of 2028

Sep 26, 10:24 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

3.35%chance

57754

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5373

186

Is Max Tegmark's mathematical universe hypothesis correct?

May 28, 9:50 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

20.73%chance

362918

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1388

848

Where Will Season 4 of MAX's "The White Lotus" Be Set?

Apr 1, 12:05 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

142135

OptionProbability

France

Mexico

Greece

Japan

Australia

United Kingdom

United States

United Arab Emirates

India

Brazil

Switzerland

Other Location

98

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Will the HBO Max app still exist on July 1, 2027?

Dec 5, 8:37 PMJul 1, 8:35 PM

80.12%chance

91714

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2008

498

Will 1mon (Max) wear a dress in 2026

May 25, 4:39 AMJan 1, 4:30 AM

68.77%chance

111620

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1484

674

New Claude tier above Max 20x before 2027?

Jan 9, 8:31 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

30.74%chance

141276

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1501

666

Will Max Tegmark (physicist, Future of Life Institute) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?

Jan 15, 3:56 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

4.27%chance

16922

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1449

947

Will Max get a permanent position with a research focus at a top 10 university within 5 years of finishing his PhD?

Jun 25, 1:58 PMJul 1, 2:01 PM

47%chance

14753

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1034

956

Will Max Roser create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?

Jan 9, 7:10 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

42.33%chance

10345

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1238

779

Zen 6 desktop CPU with 7.00+ GHz max boost clock before 2029?

Nov 6, 9:06 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

25.45%chance

6189

OptionVotes

YES

NO

241

85

Will Max Miller drop out of his congressional race before the deadline?

Aug 8, 12:22 AMNov 2, 11:59 PM

27.22%chance

1100

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1100

960

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