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Prediction markets for Max

Will Portland MAX light rail extend to Vancouver WA before end of 2030

Sep 26, 10:25 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

10.42%chance

931732

OptionVotes

YES

NO

29345

3524

Will Max Verstappen be a Red Bull driver in the first race of the 2026 season?

Aug 20, 3:31 AMFeb 2, 7:59 AM

85.06%chance

376249

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2386

419

🎧 Next generation AirPods Max - what will be true?

Apr 17, 12:47 PMDec 31, 12:10 PM

154737

OptionProbability

🔊 Updated to H2 Chip for improved computational audio

📍 Added U2 Chip for Precision Finding

🛄 Redesigned Case

🛜 Updated to Bluetooth 5.3 or newer

3️⃣ Announced in Q3, 2024

4️⃣ Announced in Q4, 2024

92

71

69

63

0

0

Will Portland MAX light rail extend to Vancouver WA before end of 2028

Sep 26, 10:24 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

6.41%chance

33172

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3821

262

Is Max Tegmark's mathematical universe hypothesis correct?

May 28, 9:50 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

26.29%chance

342179

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1117

931

Will Max Verstappen move to Mercedes in F1 2025 or 2026?

Mar 4, 3:08 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

7.71%chance

311836

OptionVotes

YES

NO

592

82

Will the Alaska 737 MAX depressurization incident substantially impact Alaska’s acquisition of Hawaiian airlines?

Jan 7, 2:55 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

20%chance

18623

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1088

951

Will Max Tegmark (physicist, Future of Life Institute) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?

Jan 15, 3:56 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

5.3%chance

14621

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1172

961

Will Max get a permanent position with a research focus at a top 10 university within 5 years of finishing his PhD?

Jun 25, 1:58 PMJul 1, 2:01 PM

47%chance

13553

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1034

956

What will be Max Verstappen's next team after Red Bull Racing?

Apr 18, 5:16 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

11463

OptionProbability

Mercedes

Aston Martin

He'll leave F1 without driving for another team

Audi/Sauber

Ferrari

McLaren

Racing Bulls

Alpine

Haas

Williams

Cadillac

Other

37

21

17

8

3

2

2

2

2

2

2

2

Will Max Lucid's heart break within 6 months? (""""Non sexual Dominatrix"""")

Feb 25, 11:46 PMAug 31, 4:59 PM

56.9%chance

10374

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1149

870

Will Max Roser create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?

Jan 9, 7:10 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

42.33%chance

10345

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1238

779

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