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Top stories

Gaza City Families Stay Amid Israeli Strikes, Evacuation Orders to 19 Disputed Zones Ahead of Military Operation

Gaza City Families Stay Amid Israeli Strikes, Evacuation Orders to 19 Disputed Zones Ahead of Military Operation

Authors

3

7 months ago

Prediction markets for Media Office

Schedule F: if Trump is elected, will he appoint more than 10,000 people in 2025?

Aug 9, 6:45 AMApr 1, 9:59 PM

10.93%chance

264226

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2854

350

Elon Musk financially backs campaign to remove Trump from office?

Jun 6, 3:13 PMDec 31, 4:06 PM

18.12%chance

172277

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2126

470

Was Epstein a Russian asset?

Feb 9, 11:39 PMJan 1, 11:35 PM

14.9%chance

232276

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2390

418

Will there be a large violent dispute between protesters and ICE in 2026?

Jan 10, 1:30 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

66.79%chance

232199

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1419

706

Will the "Mad Scientists Theory of Governance" be cited by someone important?

Nov 26, 6:57 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

74.89%chance

311936

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1629

626

Will leftists like Mamdani?

Sep 12, 3:01 AMJan 1, 3:53 AM

79.53%chance

141722

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1971

507

By 2033, Will an AI be elected to public office in a democracy?

Mar 25, 6:32 AMJan 1, 2:59 AM

26.93%chance

491642

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1174

908

Have we seen the last of MTG?

Dec 1, 6:56 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

22.4%chance

191449

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1861

537

How Many Statewide Offices Will Democrats win in Texas in 2026?

Mar 22, 12:05 AMNov 3, 11:59 PM

81250

OptionProbability

1 or more

0

2 or more

3 or more

4 or more

5 or more

7 or more

6 or more

8 or more

9 or more

10 or more

11 or more

12 or more

13 or more

14 or more

15 (Democratic Sweep)

56

48

47

25

17

13

6

5

5

5

4

4

4

3

3

2

Will the official Farcaster client (formerly Warpcast) permanently cease as a social media platform by Dec 31, 2026?

Jan 17, 9:49 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM

50.75%chance

5920

OptionVotes

NO

YES

102

99

Will large amounts of GTA VI-related time-off requests be reported within two weeks of release?

May 18, 3:55 AMMay 27, 3:51 AM

53.61%chance

7311

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1075

930

Will another congressperson have pulled a "George Santos" before November 2028?

Oct 19, 12:12 PMNov 2, 3:59 AM

43.06%chance

2150

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1150

870

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