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Top stories

Trump Fires CDC Director Monarez as Vaccine Policy Clash Spurs Exodus

US Gov Appointments

Trump Fires CDC Director Monarez as Vaccine Policy Clash Spurs Exodus

Authors

129

3 months ago

Prediction markets for Medical

Will any US state pass legislation banning any form of commonly-used gender-affirming medical care for adults before 2030?

Nov 15, 10:11 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

91.48%chance

606043

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2866

607

Will Donald Trump be revealed to have a major medical condition before the end of his second presidential term?

Nov 7, 7:11 PMJan 21, 7:59 AM

75.06%chance

283372

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1735

576

Will a Large Language Model save a human life through medical advice by the end of 2025?

Dec 18, 4:29 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

94%chance

251829

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1438

925

During President Trumps present term.Do you think he may have a medical episode, making him incapable to finish his term

Feb 21, 7:58 AMJan 7, 4:59 AM

38.67%chance

181762

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1259

794

Stanford Medical School Graduation Ceremony includes Land acknowledgement, 2029

Feb 25, 11:38 PMJul 2, 6:59 AM

31.28%chance

161561

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1388

756

Will there be a successful medical malpractice suit by end of 2025 for NOT using AI for diagnosis or treatment

Sep 7, 3:59 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

8.36%chance

13937

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1706

895

Will over 50% of US trans youth live in states banning medically recommended care (incl. HRT, blockers) by end-2028?

Jun 4, 10:13 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

57.08%chance

15840

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1407

523

Will an effective hair restoration medication be commercially available before 2030?

Sep 12, 6:59 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

36.37%chance

6610

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1323

756

Will AI get a medical license in the USA? (5 year question)

Aug 19, 5:32 PMAug 19, 6:29 PM

20.88%chance

11565

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1052

630

Will male pattern baldness be curable via medication before 2035?

Jan 27, 7:27 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

34.08%chance

15482

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1040

874

Will there be a medical intervention that reliably alters Big 5 personality traits for willing participants before 2030?

Jan 11, 10:59 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

30.88%chance

14379

OptionVotes

YES

NO

150

67

Will medically safe ribcage depth reduction of 3+ inches be commercially available by 2100?

Aug 18, 11:18 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

56.04%chance

7257

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1149

906

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