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Prediction markets for Medics

Will any US state pass legislation banning any form of commonly-used gender-affirming medical care for adults before 2030?

Nov 15, 10:11 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

91.28%chance

595993

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2816

612

Will Donald Trump be revealed to have a major medical condition before the end of his second presidential term?

Nov 7, 7:11 PMJan 21, 7:59 AM

74.93%chance

202429

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1729

578

During President Trumps present term.Do you think he may have a medical episode, making him incapable to finish his term

Feb 21, 7:58 AMJan 7, 4:59 AM

37.03%chance

181717

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1304

767

Stanford Medical School Graduation Ceremony includes Land acknowledgement, 2029

Feb 25, 11:38 PMJul 2, 6:59 AM

31.28%chance

161561

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1388

756

Will a Large Language Model save a human life through medical advice by the end of 2025?

Dec 18, 4:29 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

91.83%chance

241442

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1063

953

Will over 50% of US trans youth live in states banning medically recommended care (incl. HRT, blockers) by end-2028?

Jun 4, 10:13 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

51.56%chance

14740

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1307

607

Will AI get a medical license in the USA? (5 year question)

Aug 19, 5:32 PMAug 19, 6:29 PM

20.88%chance

11565

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1052

630

Will an effective hair restoration medication be commercially available before 2030?

Sep 12, 6:59 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

33.26%chance

5560

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1417

706

Will there be a successful medical malpractice suit by end of 2025 for NOT using AI for diagnosis or treatment

Sep 7, 3:59 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

11.56%chance

12487

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1256

944

Will male pattern baldness be curable via medication before 2035?

Jan 27, 7:27 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

30.53%chance

14432

OptionVotes

NO

YES

990

979

Will Donald Trump’s medical records become public in his lifetime?

Oct 13, 3:25 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

47.13%chance

10118

OptionVotes

YES

NO

106

94

Does Bing restrict medical queries in Belgium, EU on October 1 2025?

Mar 8, 5:29 PMOct 2, 6:59 AM

35.89%chance

446

OptionVotes

YES

NO

115

72

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