OptionProbability
US allies with significant US troop presence (>10% of their own active military) and/or US-land-border e.g. Germany, Japan, Bahrain, Canada
US allies with moderate US troop presence (1-10% of their own active military) e.g. UK, Italy, Spain, South Korea, Australia
Russia-China allies within connected defence pacts e.g. Belarus, Kazakhstan, North Korea
Russia-China allies outside connected defence pacts e.g. Cuba, Syria, Iran
US allies with negligible US troop presence (<1% of their own active military) but within connected defence pacts e.g. France, Brazil
US allies with negligible US troop presence and outside connected defence pacts e.g. Switzerland, Ukraine, Taiwan
Nations outside both US and Russia-China geopolitical spheres e.g. India, South Africa, Indonesia
Russia
The US
Mainland China
72
55
37
28
24
OptionVotes
YES
NO
122
82
