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Prediction markets for Mercurity

Will a human walk on Mercury before 2040?

Dec 30, 8:59 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

1.01%chance

2410036

OptionVotes

YES

NO

8554

752

Will there exist a swimming pool filled with mercury before 2030?

Dec 29, 11:52 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

14.9%chance

141924

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2392

419

Will more than a gram of non-radioactive gold be produced from mercury by 2030?

Jul 21, 10:59 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

15%chance

61549

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2380

420

Will a human walk on Mercury before 2045?

Jan 1, 8:47 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

4.43%chance

141397

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2131

895

Will there be a crewed mission to Mercury before 2045?

Dec 30, 8:26 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

5.83%chance

121021

OptionVotes

YES

NO

398

104

Will there be a crewed mission to Mercury before 2040?

Dec 30, 1:29 AMMar 1, 10:59 PM

20.27%chance

13916

OptionVotes

YES

NO

168

155

Will Mercury be dismantled before 2070?

May 13, 1:22 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

25.63%chance

16776

OptionVotes

YES

NO

170

59

Will there be a crewed mission to Mercury before 2050?

Jan 8, 11:12 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

43.2%chance

9560

OptionVotes

NO

YES

121

62

Will a spacecraft that plans to attempt a soft landing on Mercury launch by the end of 2030?

Aug 25, 2:31 AMDec 2, 4:59 AM

24%chance

7113

OptionVotes

YES

NO

198

76

Will a rover from Earth land on the planet Mercury by EOY 2051?

May 30, 8:13 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

68.97%chance

795

OptionVotes

YES

NO

101

97

Successful Mercury landing till 2040?

Apr 22, 7:13 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

33.15%chance

342

OptionVotes

YES

NO

172

100

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