Mercury News
Prediction markets for Mercury
OptionProbability
99
96
95
92
92
91
87
85
83
77
72
72
70
70
68
67
66
65
51
45
41
37
37
32
30
30
27
23
23
21
20
20
19
18
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
14
13
12
12
11
11
11
10
10
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
7
7
7
7
6
6
4
3
3
2
2
2
1
1
1
0
OptionVotes
8554
752
Will there exist a swimming pool filled with mercury before 2030?
Dec 29, 11:52 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
14.9%chance
141924
OptionVotes
2392
419
Will more than a gram of non-radioactive gold be produced from mercury by 2030?
Jul 21, 10:59 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
15%chance
61549
OptionVotes
2380
420
OptionVotes
2131
895
Will there be a crewed mission to Mercury before 2045?
Dec 30, 8:26 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM
5.83%chance
121021
OptionVotes
398
104
Will there be a crewed mission to Mercury before 2040?
Dec 30, 1:29 AMMar 1, 10:59 PM
18.45%chance
13900
OptionVotes
185
151
OptionVotes
221
45
OptionVotes
121
62
Will a spacecraft that plans to attempt a soft landing on Mercury launch by the end of 2030?
Aug 25, 2:31 AMDec 2, 4:59 AM
24%chance
7113
OptionVotes
198
76
OptionVotes
172
100
OptionProbability
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
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