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Prediction markets for Merge

Will Reform UK and the Conservative Party merge before the next General Election, OR 15 August 2029?

Jan 3, 1:57 PMAug 15, 10:59 PM

18.03%chance

205817

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2132

469

Will the Conservative and Reform parties merge or closely cooperate before the end of the next election?

Jul 11, 12:24 PMJan 18, 11:59 PM

55.4%chance

235695

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2181

1841

Will OpenAI "merge and assist" by end of 2026?

Jan 2, 2:41 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

9.09%chance

363340

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2126

797

Drivechain: Bitcoin prices x drivechain merge by 2028

Nov 17, 5:07 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

21865

OptionProbability

No Drivechain // <= $100k

No Drivechain // > $100k

Drivechain // > $100k

Drivechain // <= $100k

32

28

22

17

Bitcoin merges Drivechain (BIP300/301) before 2028?

Nov 17, 4:49 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

39.39%chance

41240

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1240

806

Will Tesla merge with xAI by the end of 2027?

Jun 13, 4:46 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

25.08%chance

121205

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1745

585

Anglo American & Teck Resources merge by Jan 1, 2026?

Sep 9, 7:08 PMJan 2, 11:59 PM

22.63%chance

5883

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1849

541

Will AI systems and humans merge to create Cyborgs which are also the primary way that most humans live, this century?

Mar 24, 9:30 AMJan 1, 6:29 AM

59.37%chance

15591

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1123

765

Anglo American & Teck Resources merge by May 1, 2026?

Sep 9, 7:16 PMMay 2, 11:59 PM

34.75%chance

5502

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1370

730

Anglo American & Teck Resources merge by Sep 1, 2026

Sep 9, 7:33 PMSep 1, 11:59 PM

34.87%chance

4395

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1367

732

Will a neural network merge with a human brain before 2050?

Nov 25, 7:43 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

52.82%chance

16380

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1038

934

Will SUI and APTOS blockchains merge into a single network by December 31st, 2026?

Aug 27, 5:03 PMJan 2, 5:59 AM

43.07%chance

3153

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1150

870

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