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Top stories

UK Bank Holiday Set to Hit 30°C Before Erin’s Remnants Bring Rain

UK Bank Holiday Set to Hit 30°C Before Erin’s Remnants Bring Rain

Authors

7

1 year ago

UK Met Office Issues Yellow Warnings for Heavy Rain, Thunderstorms, and Gusty Winds in Southern England and Wales Thursday to Friday

Natural Disasters

UK Met Office Issues Yellow Warnings for Heavy Rain, Thunderstorms, and Gusty Winds in Southern England and Wales Thursday to Friday

Authors

4

11 months ago

Prediction markets for Met Office

Will there be MAJOR, HISTORIC-LEVEL protests against Trump during his second term?

Feb 21, 9:33 PMJan 27, 4:59 AM

66%chance

7411951

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1394

718

Will an openly gay man become president of the United States before a woman becomes president?

Jun 25, 2:31 AMJan 21, 6:59 AM

20.18%chance

253777

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1989

503

🇺🇸 Which state will be the last to install its first woman governor?

Mar 19, 10:42 PMJan 3, 6:59 AM

132638

OptionProbability

West Virginia

Idaho

Mississippi

Georgia

Illinois

Minnesota

Missouri

Nevada

Pennsylvania

Tennessee

Florida

Indiana

North Dakota

Wisconsin

California

Maryland

Colorado

Virginia

11

10

10

9

9

9

9

9

9

9

8

8

8

8

7

7

6

2

Will someone I've met be elected President in either 2028 or 2032?

Jan 28, 4:09 PMJan 16, 4:59 AM

61.68%chance

492390

OptionVotes

NO

YES

5270

1565

Waymo handles Denver snow?

Sep 6, 1:39 PMApr 1, 1:28 PM

42.12%chance

382113

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1172

853

🇺🇸 Which state will be the next to install its first woman governor?

Nov 14, 1:29 AMJan 3, 1:18 AM

41808

OptionProbability

Minnesota

Wisconsin

Tennessee

California

Georgia

Idaho

Illinois

Indiana

Nevada

Pennsylvania

Colorado

Florida

Maryland

Mississippi

Missouri

North Dakota

West Virginia

48

21

8

3

2

2

2

2

2

2

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

Trump impeached, convicted, and removed within six months of approval below 35%?

Jun 6, 3:04 PMDec 6, 3:00 PM

21%chance

131323

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1940

516

Will large amounts of GTA VI-related time-off requests be reported within two weeks of release?

May 27, 2:12 PMNov 20, 7:59 AM

31.26%chance

91154

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1483

674

Will a Democratic president begin demolishing Trump’s White House ballroom before 2029

May 14, 7:21 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

32.3%chance

13619

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1448

691

Will another US President hold office for more than 2,922 days? (through 2100)

Jul 3, 6:08 AMJan 22, 4:59 AM

43.33%chance

5398

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1144

874

Will Chancellor Merz announce a German defense spending increase to 3.0% of GDP by the end of 2026?

Feb 9, 3:17 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

31.85%chance

7141

OptionVotes

YES

NO

146

68

How many people will attend the Unite the Kingdom march on 16 May in London?

May 13, 9:22 PMMay 13, 10:59 PM

277

OptionProbability

100,000 - 249,999

50,000 - 99,999

0 - 9,999

10,000 - 49,999

250,000 - 499,999

500,000 - 749,999

750,000 - 1,000,000

Above 1,000,000

37

33

6

6

5

5

5

5

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