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Top stories

UK Bank Holiday Set to Hit 30°C Before Erin’s Remnants Bring Rain

UK Bank Holiday Set to Hit 30°C Before Erin’s Remnants Bring Rain

Authors

7

10 months ago

UK Met Office Issues Yellow Warnings for Heavy Rain, Thunderstorms, and Gusty Winds in Southern England and Wales Thursday to Friday

Natural Disasters

UK Met Office Issues Yellow Warnings for Heavy Rain, Thunderstorms, and Gusty Winds in Southern England and Wales Thursday to Friday

Authors

4

10 months ago

Prediction markets for Met Office

Will there be MAJOR, HISTORIC-LEVEL protests against Trump during his second term?

Feb 21, 9:33 PMJan 27, 4:59 AM

77.79%chance

6811466

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1873

535

Will an openly gay man become president of the United States before a woman becomes president?

Jun 25, 2:31 AMJan 21, 6:59 AM

20.18%chance

253777

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1989

503

Will an ICE Agent engage in an "Unjustified" shooting at a U.S. airport before the 2026 DHS Shutdown ends?

Mar 24, 9:35 PMSep 30, 11:59 PM

1.19%chance

233397

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1215

34

Will someone I've met be elected President in either 2028 or 2032?

Jan 28, 4:09 PMJan 16, 4:59 AM

61.68%chance

492390

OptionVotes

NO

YES

5270

1565

How will we have the first-ever First Gentleman of the United States

Dec 11, 12:48 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

332266

OptionProbability

By virtue of having a straight female president

By virtue of having a gay (or bisexual) male president

76

24

Waymo handles Denver snow?

Sep 6, 1:39 PMApr 1, 1:28 PM

34.25%chance

371955

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1386

722

Trump impeached, convicted, and removed within six months of approval below 35%?

Jun 6, 3:04 PMDec 6, 3:00 PM

21%chance

131323

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1940

516

🇺🇸 Which state will be the next to install its first woman governor?

Nov 14, 1:29 AMJan 3, 1:18 AM

21293

OptionProbability

Tennessee

Wisconsin

California

Nevada

Colorado

Florida

Georgia

Idaho

Illinois

Indiana

Minnesota

Missouri

North Dakota

Pennsylvania

West Virginia

Maryland

Mississippi

32

21

7

5

3

3

3

3

3

3

3

3

3

3

3

2

2

Will large amounts of GTA VI-related time-off requests be reported within two weeks of release?

May 27, 2:12 PMNov 20, 7:59 AM

31.26%chance

91154

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1483

674

Will a Democratic president begin demolishing Trump’s White House ballroom before 2029

May 14, 7:21 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

32.3%chance

13619

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1448

691

Will another US President hold office for more than 2,922 days? (through 2100)

Jul 3, 6:08 AMJan 22, 4:59 AM

43.33%chance

5398

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1144

874

When will 14-day weather forecasts reach 60% accuracy?

Mar 9, 6:23 PMJan 1, 12:00 AM

8114

OptionProbability

After 2100/ Never (fundamental atmospheric chaos prevents this level of accuracy)

Before 2040

Before 2060

Before 2100

Before 2080

49

20

16

9

7

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