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Top stories

UK Bank Holiday Set to Hit 30°C Before Erin’s Remnants Bring Rain

UK Bank Holiday Set to Hit 30°C Before Erin’s Remnants Bring Rain

Authors

7

9 months ago

UK Met Office Issues Yellow Warnings for Heavy Rain, Thunderstorms, and Gusty Winds in Southern England and Wales Thursday to Friday

Natural Disasters

UK Met Office Issues Yellow Warnings for Heavy Rain, Thunderstorms, and Gusty Winds in Southern England and Wales Thursday to Friday

Authors

4

8 months ago

Prediction markets for Met Office

Will there be MAJOR, HISTORIC-LEVEL protests against Trump during his second term?

Feb 21, 9:33 PMJan 27, 4:59 AM

77.79%chance

6811466

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1873

535

Will an openly gay man become president of the United States before a woman becomes president?

Jun 25, 2:31 AMJan 21, 6:59 AM

20.18%chance

253777

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1989

503

Will an ICE Agent engage in an "Unjustified" shooting at a U.S. airport before the 2026 DHS Shutdown ends?

Mar 24, 9:35 PMSep 30, 11:59 PM

1.19%chance

233397

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1215

34

Will someone I've met be elected President in either 2028 or 2032?

Jan 28, 4:09 PMJan 16, 4:59 AM

61.68%chance

492390

OptionVotes

NO

YES

5270

1565

How will we have the first-ever First Gentleman of the United States

Dec 11, 12:48 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

332266

OptionProbability

By virtue of having a straight female president

By virtue of having a gay (or bisexual) male president

76

24

Waymo handles Denver snow?

Sep 6, 1:39 PMApr 1, 1:28 PM

34.25%chance

371955

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1386

722

Trump impeached, convicted, and removed within six months of approval below 35%?

Jun 6, 3:04 PMDec 6, 3:00 PM

20.65%chance

131318

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1960

510

🇺🇸 Which state will be the next to install its first woman governor?

Nov 14, 1:29 AMJan 3, 1:18 AM

21293

OptionProbability

Tennessee

Wisconsin

California

Nevada

Colorado

Florida

Georgia

Idaho

Illinois

Indiana

Minnesota

Missouri

North Dakota

Pennsylvania

West Virginia

Maryland

Mississippi

32

21

7

5

3

3

3

3

3

3

3

3

3

3

3

2

2

Miami-Dade Mayor recalled in 2026?

Jan 15, 5:26 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

30.59%chance

4706

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1506

664

Will large amounts of GTA VI-related time-off requests be reported within two weeks of release?

May 18, 3:55 AMMay 27, 3:51 AM

39.77%chance

9612

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1231

813

What year will the cost of solar energy drop to 2 cents/kWh?

Mar 30, 2:14 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

7427

OptionProbability

2028-2029

2029-2030

2027-2028

2024-2025

2025-2026

2026-2027

2030-2031

2031-2032

2032-2033

2033-2034

2034-2035

2035-2036

2036-2037

69

12

4

2

2

2

2

2

1

1

1

1

1

Will another US President hold office for more than 2,922 days? (through 2100)

Jul 3, 6:08 AMJan 22, 4:59 AM

43.33%chance

5398

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1144

874

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