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Top stories

UK Police Expand Live Facial Recognition at Notting Hill Carnival, Stir Privacy Backlash

UK Police Expand Live Facial Recognition at Notting Hill Carnival, Stir Privacy Backlash

Authors

19

9 months ago

Prediction markets for Met

Will any 4 of AAPL, AMZN, ASML, GOOG, META, MSFT, NVDA, and TSM lose 60% of their peak value before 2028?

Sep 23, 4:56 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

23.91%chance

3511987

OptionVotes

YES

NO

18344

5235

Will the Mets team change ownership by mid 2027

Jan 3, 10:57 AMJun 30, 9:59 PM

6.93%chance

72884

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3664

273

Will someone I've met be elected President in either 2028 or 2032?

Jan 28, 4:09 PMJan 16, 4:59 AM

61.68%chance

492390

OptionVotes

NO

YES

5270

1565

Mets, Yankees, or Red Sox switch leagues in baseball before 2028

Jul 4, 2:06 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

4.52%chance

162322

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2929

808

Will the Global Methane Pledge be met?

Feb 3, 9:50 AMJan 31, 11:59 PM

16.13%chance

211805

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1554

800

Will AGI lead to a utopia where all of people's needs and most of their wants are met, or to power concentration?

Dec 18, 8:10 AMDec 31, 8:59 PM

481437

OptionProbability

Utopia

Concentration of power in the hands of few.

Other

60

31

9

Across, 2025 a majority of EA funding rounds will have public forecasting questions/prediction markets to bet on whether grants will be given or whether grant goals will be met.

Sep 22, 6:44 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

14.74%chance

201289

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1647

825

Will the New York Mets finish the 2026 regular season with a better record than 2025 NL East Champion?

Jan 27, 2:35 AMOct 5, 11:59 PM

7.72%chance

7275

OptionVotes

YES

NO

346

29

Will Steve Cohen still own the Mets on July 1 2029?

Jul 3, 6:52 PMJul 4, 6:59 AM

79.37%chance

5251

OptionVotes

NO

YES

129

90

When will Carlos Mendoza be fired as NY Mets manager?

Apr 27, 12:16 AMJan 2, 1:10 AM

361

Will Luis Robert Jr. hit .270+ for the Mets in 2026?

Apr 3, 1:46 AMSep 30, 11:59 PM

40.98%chance

220

OptionVotes

YES

NO

120

83

You find the conditions for a market to resolve have been met, but the creator isn't aware of it yet, what do you do?

Jan 29, 11:19 AM

280

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