Meta AI Research News

Microsoft Offers Multimillion-Dollar Packages and Most-Wanted List to Poach Meta AI Talent Amid Meta Superintelligence Labs Launch

9 months ago

Who Will Be the First to Reveal Human-Level AGI?

Mar 3, 4:53 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

655171

OptionProbability

Deepmind/Google/Alphabet

OpenAI/Microsoft

Anthropic

xAI or another Elon Musk-led AI initiative

Another specific company (not one of the above or a subsidiary)

A government or coalition of governments

Meta (Facebook) AI Research

A university/academic institute/independent researcher/non-profit organization or a combination of these

Will prompt injection be effectively solved by end of 2026?

Mar 1, 5:47 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

10.29%chance

364370

OptionVotes

YES

2953

339

Will there be a fire alarm for AGI by the end of 2027?

Sep 28, 11:28 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

16.84%chance

312834

OptionVotes

YES

1351

868

Will prompt injection be effectively solved by end of 2027?

Mar 1, 7:55 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

17.79%chance

141501

OptionVotes

YES

2149

465

Will there be a successful application of diffusion-like weight modification in LLMs before 2027?

Nov 23, 12:02 PMJan 2, 12:00 AM

26.66%chance

51141

OptionVotes

YES

1659

603

Will a Russian actor be publicly attributed with stealing weights from a frontier AI developer before 2030?

Oct 30, 11:42 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

48.12%chance

4157

OptionVotes

YES

1091

1011

AI model training time decreases fourfold by mid-2027?

May 19, 12:14 PMJun 30, 11:59 PM

35.89%chance

5140

OptionVotes

YES

134

AWS or Microsoft release own frontier AI model?

May 7, 5:01 PMDec 31, 5:59 PM

74.99%chance

6115

OptionVotes

YES

173

Best Engineering-Focused A.I. News Source (Permanent)

Apr 4, 4:14 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

6108

OptionProbability

Other

Product Hunt, Filtered for A.I. and Last 90 Days https://www.producthunt.com/search?q=AI&lastLaunchedAfter=90%3Adays

Hacker News

Massachusetts Institute of technology

Twitter

Will Aidan McLau's claim that very large models are "refusing instruction tuning" be validated by 2030?

Nov 22, 6:49 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

41.66%chance

455

OptionVotes

YES

118

Is Jose Luis Ricon FUNNIER than JOSCHA BACH, jose luis ricon, razib khan, @repligate/janus , alexey guzey, qiaochu yuan?

May 2, 4:30 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

40.19%chance

122

OptionVotes

YES

122

Will at least one major LLM publicly document graph-based RAG as a core part of its production architecture in 2026?

Jan 20, 10:15 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

45.25%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

110

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Who Will Be the First to Reveal Human-Level AGI?

Will prompt injection be effectively solved by end of 2026?

Will there be a fire alarm for AGI by the end of 2027?

Will prompt injection be effectively solved by end of 2027?

Will there be a successful application of diffusion-like weight modification in LLMs before 2027?

Will a Russian actor be publicly attributed with stealing weights from a frontier AI developer before 2030?

AI model training time decreases fourfold by mid-2027?

AWS or Microsoft release own frontier AI model?

Best Engineering-Focused A.I. News Source (Permanent)

Will Aidan McLau's claim that very large models are "refusing instruction tuning" be validated by 2030?

Is Jose Luis Ricon FUNNIER than JOSCHA BACH, jose luis ricon, razib khan, @repligate/janus , alexey guzey, qiaochu yuan?

Will at least one major LLM publicly document graph-based RAG as a core part of its production architecture in 2026?

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