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Prediction markets for Meta Materials

Apakah aptos akan naik 75% September

Aug 18, 7:42 AMSep 30, 11:59 PM

30.63%chance

103568

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1505

664

Will a US open-weights LLM outrank every Chinese open-weights LLM on LMArena at the end of 2027?

May 31, 5:28 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

18.82%chance

8325

OptionVotes

YES

NO

188

66

Will credible evidence emerge before 2027 that Meta can access the content of WhatsApp messages despite end-to-end encry

Jan 27, 10:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

15.06%chance

12284

OptionVotes

YES

NO

237

42

Which major platform will be first to announce Meta-style teen safety measures by September 30, 2026?

Aug 26, 9:40 PMSep 30, 8:59 PM

371

OptionProbability

None of the above

YouTube

TikTok

Snapchat

49

31

12

9

Will a frontier AI lab publish recurring governance metrics with capability benchmarks in one document by 2026-12-31?

Jul 16, 1:51 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

35%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

Will Kaeberlein, Sinclair, Jose Luis Ricon, Zhavoronkov, Lada Nuzhna, Bryan Johnson, Guerente all DnD campaign by 2035?

Dec 3, 4:22 PM

10

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