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Prediction markets for Metals

Will LME cobalt metal official cash settlement price exceed 55 USD per kg on June 30, 2026?

Mar 21, 2:23 AMJun 30, 4:00 AM

74.9%chance

149135

OptionVotes

NO

YES

17274

5789

Will I record an album with my black metal band in 2026?

Dec 31, 4:02 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

73.12%chance

5901

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1652

607

Wagerup gallium plant produces first metal by December 31, 2026

Jan 12, 5:41 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

38.65%chance

9638

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1260

794

Will metal currency be obsolete by 2040 in the US?

Nov 21, 5:10 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

31.64%chance

11295

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1075

934

Will Ucore's Alaska Strategic Metals Complex be producing Sm2O3 at commercial scale on June 30, 2028?

Apr 8, 2:35 PMJun 30, 4:00 AM

33.1%chance

375

OptionVotes

YES

NO

159

42

Will Sm metal (Western) spot price exceed 100 USD/kg on October 31, 2026?

Apr 8, 2:23 PMOct 31, 4:00 AM

56.94%chance

115

OptionVotes

NO

YES

115

87

Will Sm metal (Western) spot price exceed 100 USD/kg on July 31, 2026?

Apr 8, 2:22 PMJul 31, 4:00 AM

56.94%chance

115

OptionVotes

NO

YES

115

87

Will Sm metal (Western) spot price exceed 50 USD/kg on July 31, 2026?

Apr 8, 2:22 PMJul 31, 4:00 AM

56.94%chance

115

OptionVotes

NO

YES

115

87

Will Sm metal (Western) spot price exceed 100 USD/kg on December 31, 2026?

Apr 8, 2:23 PMDec 31, 5:00 AM

56.94%chance

115

OptionVotes

NO

YES

115

87

Will hafnium unwrought metal price exceed 2000 USD/kg on March 31, 2027?

Apr 7, 2:54 PMMar 31, 4:00 AM

56.94%chance

115

OptionVotes

NO

YES

115

87

Will Sm metal (Western) spot price exceed 200 USD/kg on September 30, 2026?

Apr 8, 2:23 PMSep 30, 4:00 AM

52.44%chance

15

OptionVotes

NO

YES

105

95

Will hafnium unwrought metal price exceed 2000 USD/kg on December 31, 2029?

Apr 7, 2:56 PMDec 31, 5:00 AM

47.56%chance

15

OptionVotes

YES

NO

105

95

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