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Prediction markets for Metals

What will be the first metal Trump officially requests for Project Vault?

May 21, 6:20 PMDec 31, 6:37 PM

84871

OptionProbability

Gallium

Neodymium

Germanium

Antimony

Dysprosium

Terbium

Yttrium

Tantalum

Rhenium

Indium

Tellurium

Samarium

Silver

13

13

12

9

8

7

7

5

5

5

5

5

4

Wagerup gallium plant produces first metal by December 31, 2026

Jan 12, 5:41 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

28.31%chance

112174

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1592

629

Will I record an album with my black metal band in 2026?

Dec 31, 4:02 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

73.12%chance

5901

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1652

607

Will ASM KMP zirconium metal production for June 2026 exceed 20 t?

Apr 7, 2:52 PMSep 30, 4:00 AM

7.89%chance

9405

OptionVotes

YES

NO

342

29

Will metal currency be obsolete by 2040 in the US?

Nov 21, 5:10 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

31.64%chance

11295

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1075

934

Will hafnium unwrought metal price exceed 2000 USD/kg on March 31, 2027?

Apr 7, 2:54 PMMar 31, 4:00 AM

92.97%chance

2275

OptionVotes

NO

YES

364

27

Will hafnium unwrought metal price exceed 4000 USD/kg on December 31, 2028?

Apr 7, 2:55 PMDec 31, 5:00 AM

55.39%chance

256

OptionVotes

NO

YES

111

90

Will hafnium unwrought metal price exceed 4000 USD/kg on December 31, 2029?

Apr 7, 2:56 PMDec 31, 5:00 AM

49.24%chance

350

OptionVotes

YES

NO

102

98

Will ASM KMP zirconium metal production for December 2026 exceed 20 t?

Apr 7, 2:53 PMMar 31, 4:00 AM

56.94%chance

115

OptionVotes

NO

YES

115

87

Will Sm metal (Western) spot price exceed 100 USD/kg on June 30, 2027?

Apr 8, 2:24 PMJun 30, 4:00 AM

56.94%chance

115

OptionVotes

NO

YES

115

87

Will ASM KMP zirconium metal production for September 2026 exceed 200 t?

Apr 7, 2:53 PMDec 31, 5:00 AM

56.94%chance

115

OptionVotes

NO

YES

115

87

Will ASM KMP zirconium metal production for December 2026 exceed 200 t?

Apr 7, 2:53 PMMar 31, 4:00 AM

56.94%chance

115

OptionVotes

NO

YES

115

87

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