METR News

>=16 hours

4 to 6 hours

8 to 16 hours

6 to 8 hours

2 to 4 hours

2h - 2.5h

2.5h - 3h

3h - 3.5h

1.5h - 2h

3.5h - 4h

<1.5h

4h - 5h

5h - 6h

6h - 7h

7h - 8h

8h - 9h

9h - 10h

10h - 11h

11h - 12h

Build, debug and test until its of sufficient quality, a complex piece of software like a mobile app including a backend service

Beating Pokemon games

HCAST - METR

Manually rearrange and overlap 100 random images in an image editor (with no other kinds of edits) to create a recognizable portrait

ARC-AGI (any version)

Wozniak Coffee Test (requires controlling a robot)

Opinion poll of Manifold userbase

OpenAI

Other

Google DeepMind

Alphabet but not Google DeepMind

Anthropic

xAI

I will not be employed

The Center for Humane Technology

Protocol Labs

Center for AI Safety

Alignment Research Center

MIRI

Future of Life Institute

Ought

METR

AI Safety Institute

WIkimedia Foundation

Mozilla Foundation

YES

1.5 to 2 Hours

2 to 2.5 Hours

2.5 to 3 Hours

More than 3 Hours

YES

NO

YES

YES

Speedup, below -5%

Slowdown, above +20%

-5% to 0%

0% to +5%

+5% to +10%

+10% to +15%

+15% to +20%

NO