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Prediction markets for Metrics

Will the United States be using the metric system by the end of 2035?

Oct 19, 12:42 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

5.15%chance

283724

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2398

808

Will I aquire over 1 metric ton of Tungsten by 2028?

Jun 10, 9:01 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

14.71%chance

141418

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2408

415

Will the US convert to the metric system before 2050?

Aug 25, 9:34 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

17.96%chance

23670

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1241

911

A Musk company brings back at least a metric ton of non-Earth material

Jul 23, 3:22 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

59.98%chance

13633

OptionVotes

NO

YES

179

73

Will the platinum supply deficit exceed 26 metric tonnes in 2025 according to WPIC?

Feb 9, 6:00 PMFeb 9, 6:00 PM

56.63%chance

1321

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1037

971

Given that LK-99 is a rt/ap superconductor, will its average market price in 2028 be below $5,000.00 / metric ton?

Aug 6, 11:28 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

17.37%chance

9308

OptionVotes

YES

NO

316

110

Which promised metric will donut battery fail to deliver on.

Mar 22, 7:06 PMDec 31, 8:03 PM

4221

OptionProbability

Energy density (400 Wh/kg)

Charge cycle lifespan (100,000)

Cost (Lower cost than lithium-ion batteries)

Promised production volume

Charge speed (Five-minute full charge)

Uses only abundant materials without rare elements

Fire safety (No thermal runaway in extreme conditions)

Safe full discharge capability

No active cooling requirement

Performance in real-world vehicle conditions

Temperature stability (99% capacity retention at -30°C, 99% capacity retention above 100°C)

Geopolitically safe supply chain

Flexible custom shapes and geometries

83

76

76

76

66

66

50

50

50

50

48

34

34

Will at least one U.S. State or the Federal Government mandate converting road signs to the metric system before 2035?

Jun 29, 7:07 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

8.18%chance

10200

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1118

963

Will the lithium carbonate spot price exceed $25,000 per metric ton on April 1, 2026?

Mar 2, 6:08 PMApr 1, 6:08 PM

62.83%chance

1130

OptionVotes

NO

YES

130

77

Software will (upon mouseover) auto-convert Imperial to metric units (eg ng/dl to µmol/L) for any diagram by 2028

Apr 2, 6:52 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

55.59%chance

460

OptionVotes

NO

YES

114

104

Will 2026 nickel production from PT Weda Bay Nickel exceed 42 million wet metric tonnes on December 31, 2027?

Mar 4, 3:05 PMDec 31, 3:04 PM

30.77%chance

150

OptionVotes

YES

NO

150

67

Non-celebrity Vintage Boss Katana amplifier sells for more than price of 20 metric tons of iron ore or scrap by 2050

Dec 21, 12:12 AMDec 28, 2:59 PM

51.5%chance

440

OptionVotes

YES

NO

116

102

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