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Prediction markets for Mets
Which of NATO members will have met the target of 2% of GDP defence spending in any year before 2030?
Feb 12, 12:55 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
399392
OptionProbability
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
70
70
70
65
Will someone I've met be elected President in either 2028 or 2032?
Jan 28, 4:09 PMJan 16, 4:59 AM
61.64%chance
482387
OptionVotes
5267
1567
Mets, Yankees, or Red Sox switch leagues in baseball before 2028
Jul 4, 2:06 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
4.57%chance
142271
OptionVotes
2900
809
OptionVotes
1554
800
Will any 4 of AAPL, AMZN, ASML, GOOG, META, MSFT, NVDA, and TSM lose 60% of their peak value before 2028?
Sep 23, 4:56 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
46.02%chance
151631
OptionVotes
11408
8833
Will AGI lead to a utopia where all of people's needs and most of their wants are met, or to power concentration?
Dec 18, 8:10 AMDec 31, 8:59 PM
481437
OptionProbability
60
31
9
Across, 2025 a majority of EA funding rounds will have public forecasting questions/prediction markets to bet on whether grants will be given or whether grant goals will be met.
Sep 22, 6:44 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
14.74%chance
201289
OptionVotes
1647
825
OptionVotes
1439
695
OptionVotes
129
90
OptionVotes
131
77
Which of these New York Met players will not be a member of the organization at the start of the 2025/2026 season?
Oct 6, 10:46 AMMar 25, 11:59 PM
4123
OptionProbability
80
69
60
59
41
40