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Prediction markets for Mexico

If Trump wins, will there be more than 2 million illegal border crossings in the US-Mexico border in FY 2026?

Mar 9, 10:33 PMOct 31, 6:59 AM

9.5%chance

2126162

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2938

518

Will Claudia Sheinbaum remain president of Mexico through EoY 2026?

Jan 3, 8:28 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

94.75%chance

128200

OptionVotes

NO

YES

4449

370

US and Mexico engage in armed conflict before January 20, 2029

Jan 4, 7:50 PMJan 21, 12:00 AM

12%chance

124728

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2708

369

Will the US drone strike a suspected cartel operation in Mexico before 2029?

Mar 5, 3:32 AMJan 1, 6:59 AM

51.13%chance

212205

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1023

978

Will the U.S. be at war against Mexico by 2027 year end?

Jun 29, 1:48 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM

3.04%chance

321970

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1850

927

Will Mexico adopt Bitcoin as its legal tender by 2030?

Jan 25, 8:40 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

7.89%chance

16593

OptionVotes

NO

YES

979

858

If a Republican is elected POTUS in 2024, will the US send troops into Mexico before EOY 2028?

Aug 30, 8:50 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

13.55%chance

13436

OptionVotes

NO

YES

984

915

Will Mexico City get a Major League Baseball team before 2030?

Apr 19, 1:51 AMJan 1, 7:01 AM

20.6%chance

16308

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1203

927

Will Mexico go through two or more years of negative economic growth by EOY 2030?

May 27, 11:10 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

40.98%chance

4288

OptionVotes

YES

NO

120

83

Will Mexico have a larger GDP than Brazil in 2028?

Dec 9, 11:41 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

30.36%chance

13262

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1040

869

Will Claudia Sheinbaum publicly advocate for Solar Geoengineering during her term as president of Mexico?

Oct 22, 10:49 AMDec 2, 7:59 AM

56.25%chance

6134

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1134

882

Will Trump visit any country in South or Central America besides Mexico during his term?

Nov 10, 4:58 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

72.74%chance

8121

OptionVotes

NO

YES

163

61

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