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Prediction markets for Michigan Democrats

Who will win the Democratic nomination for Michigan's 2026 Senate election?

Jan 29, 3:56 AMAug 7, 3:59 AM

198521

OptionProbability

Mallory McMorrow

Haley Stevens

Abdul El-Sayed

Other

Pete Buttigieg

49

24

24

2

1

Any of Elon Musk's America Party's candidates wins a seat in Congress in 2026

Jul 9, 9:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3.38%chance

176141

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5347

187

Who will control the U.S. Senate after the 2026 midterms?

Jan 7, 4:24 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

515390

OptionProbability

Republicans

Democrats

Independents

52

48

0

Michigan Democratic Senate Primary Winner?

Mar 15, 1:43 AMAug 4, 1:43 AM

53016

OptionProbability

Mallory McMorrow

Abdul El-Sayed

Haley Stevens

63

20

17

Progressive primary sweep? (Kalshi)

Feb 19, 6:30 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

40.05%chance

11754

OptionVotes

NO

YES

122

46

Will Democrats sweep the "core four" Senate races? (Kalshi)

Jan 21, 6:43 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

65.35%chance

7682

OptionVotes

NO

YES

705

97

Which party will hold the majority in the US Senate of the 120th Congress in January 2027?

Jan 12, 9:27 PMJan 31, 11:59 PM

20640

OptionProbability

Republican

Democrat

54

46

Winner of Democratic Primary for Michigans 13th District?

Oct 7, 1:45 AMAug 4, 12:59 AM

6246

OptionProbability

Donavan McKinney (State Rep since 2023)

Shri Thanedar (Incumbent U.S. Representative)

Other

59

39

2

Who will win the Democratic Primary in Michigan's 2026 Senate Election?

Mar 18, 5:13 PMAug 4, 11:59 PM

4104

OptionProbability

Mallory McMorrow

Abdul El-Sayed

Haley Stevens

62

20

18

Will Jocelyn Benson become the 50th governor of the state of Michigan ?

Feb 8, 2:07 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

68%chance

984

OptionVotes

NO

YES

146

69

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