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Microsoft AI Research News
Prediction markets for Microsoft AI Research
Prediction markets for Microsoft AI Research
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky get fully blaked before 2027?
Feb 24, 11:59 PM
Jan 1, 5:00 AM
18.25%
chance
50
3304
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1235
918
AWS or Microsoft release own frontier AI model?
May 7, 5:01 PM
Dec 31, 5:59 PM
74.99%
chance
6
115
Option
Votes
NO
YES
173
58
Mustafa Suleyman out of Microsoft by EOY 2028?
Nov 12, 7:56 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
72.19%
chance
3
81
Option
Votes
NO
YES
161
62
Will at least one major LLM publicly document graph-based RAG as a core part of its production architecture in 2026?
Jan 20, 10:15 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
45.25%
chance
1
10
Option
Votes
YES
NO
110
91
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