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Prediction markets for Middle Eastern

NATO joins USA-Iran conflict before 2026?

Jun 22, 10:25 AMDec 30, 11:59 PM

5.64%chance

284709

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4091

244

From today to after the presidential inauguration in 2041, will the US have at least one president who is ___?

Feb 14, 4:34 AMJan 21, 4:59 AM

432545

OptionProbability

Female

Asian

Openly LGBTQ

Openly non-Christian

Latino

Openly neurodivergent

Middle Eastern

Native American

78

58

41

34

21

18

11

10

Will the United States will have an Asian-American First Lady before they have an Asian-American president?

Sep 28, 8:42 PMJan 7, 7:59 AM

40%chance

16783

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1405

531

What probability will I assign to the Bnei Menashe being a lost tribe of Israel in 6 months?

Nov 2, 9:15 AMMay 1, 9:14 AM

33.47%chance

2420

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2420

1704

Will the current Israel conflict end with an agreement organized/led by Middle Eastern states?

Oct 10, 1:22 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

60%chance

13353

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1044

907

Will there be a Fatwa issued by a middle eastern country in 2025?

Jan 8, 5:02 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

8.08%chance

5297

OptionVotes

YES

NO

337

30

Chip Security Act becomes law in 2025

May 16, 10:07 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

18.53%chance

5217

OptionVotes

YES

NO

210

48

Discovery of Phoenician/Greek Colony in Subsaharan Africa before 2050?

Sep 20, 8:41 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

19.43%chance

4182

OptionVotes

YES

NO

204

49

Will the UAE legalize homosexuality by 2035?

Oct 11, 11:59 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

32.48%chance

325

OptionVotes

YES

NO

95

53

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