OptionProbability
Arsenal
Bayern Munich
Paris Saint-Germain
Barcelona
Manchester City
Liverpool
Real Madrid
Inter Milan
Dortmund
AC Milan
Juventus
Chelsea
75
73
68
66
63
58
56
31
28
1
1
1
OptionProbability
(2026/04/05) In the Tour de Flanders, will Tadej Pogačar outfinish Mathieu van der Poel?
(2026/03/21) In the Milano-San Remo, will Tadej Pogačar outfinish Mathieu van der Poel?
(2026/04/12) In the Paris-Roubaix, will Tadej Pogačar outfinish Mathieu van der Poel?
(2026/04/26) In the Liege-Bastogne-Liege, will Tadej Pogačar outfinish Mathieu van der Poel?
(2026/03/21) In the Milano-San Remo, will Tadej Pogačar outfinish Filippo Ganna?
(2026/01/20) In the Santos Down Under Prologue, will Jay Vine outfinish Matthew Brennan?
(2026/01/22) After the 2nd stage of Santos Down Under, will Jay Vine outfinish Matthew Brennan?
(2026/01/23) After the 3rd stage of Santos Down Under, will Jay Vine outfinish Matthew Brennan?
(2026/01/24) After the 4th stage of Santos Down Under, will Jay Vine outfinish Matthew Brennan?
(2026/01/25) After the 5th stage of Santos Down Under, will Jay Vine outfinish Matthew Brennan?
(2026/01/17) After the 1st stage of the Womens' Santos Down Under, will Noemi Ruegg outfinish Neve Bradbury?
(2026/01/18) After the 2nd stage of the Womens' Santos Down Under, will Noemi Ruegg outfinish Neve Bradbury?
(2026/01/19) After the 3rd stage of the Womens' Santos Down Under, will Noemi Ruegg outfinish Neve Bradbury?
(2026/01/17) After the 1st stage of the Womens' Santos Down Under, will Amanda Spratt outfinish Mackenzie Coupland?
(2026/01/18) After the 2nd stage of the Womens' Santos Down Under, will Amanda Spratt outfinish Mackenzie Coupland?
(2026/01/19) After the 3rd stage of the Womens' Santos Down Under, will Amanda Spratt outfinish Mackenzie Coupland?
(2026/01/19) After the 3rd stage of the Womens' Santos Down Under, will Amanda Spratt outfinish Ally Wollaston?
(2026/01/19) After the 3rd stage of the Womens' Santos Down Under, will Noemi Ruegg outfinish Ally Wollaston?
(2026/01/20) In the Santos Down Under Prologue, will Jay Vine outfinish Jhonatan Narváez?
(2026/01/20) In the Santos Down Under Prologue, will Luke Plapp outfinish Ben O'Connor?
(2026/01/20) In the Santos Down Under Prologue, will Aaron Gate outfinish Adam Yates?
(2026/01/21) After the 1st stage of Santos Down Under, will Jhonathan Narvaez outfinish Jensen Plowright?
(2026/01/23) After the 3rd stage of Santos Down Under, will Jay Vine outfinish Jhonathan Narvaez?
(2026/01/23) After the 3rd stage of Santos Down Under, will Mauro Schmid outfinish Harrison Sweeny?
(2026/01/25) After the 5th stage of Santos Down Under, will Jay Vine outfinish all remaining cyclists?
(2026/01/25) After the 5th stage of Santos Down Under, will Jay Vine outfinish Mauro Schmid?
(2026/04/26) In the Liege-Bastogne-Liege, will Tadej Pogačar outfinish Mattias Skjelmose?
(2026/04/26) In the Liege-Bastogne-Liege, will Remco Evenepoel outfinish Mattias Skjelmose?
(2026/05/31) In the Giro d'Italia, will Jan Christen outfinish Martin Tjotta?
(2026/05/31) In the Giro d'Italia, will Felix Gall outfinish Afonso Eulalio?
(2026/07/26) In the Tour de France, will Tadej Pogačar outfinish Jasper Philipsen?
(2026/07/26) In the Tour de France, will Tadej Pogačar outfinish Mathieu Van Der Poel?
(2026/10/10) In the Il Lombardia, will Tadej Pogačar outfinish Mathieu van der Poel?
(2026/07/26) In the Tour de France, will Tadej Pogačar outfinish Jonas Vingegaard?
(2026/07/04) In the Tour de France, will Tadej Pogačar outfinish Jonas Vingegaard?
(2026/07/05) In the Tour de France, will Tadej Pogačar outfinish Jonas Vingegaard?
(2026/07/06) In the Tour de France, will Tadej Pogačar outfinish Jonas Vingegaard?
(2026/04/26) In the Liege-Bastogne-Liege, will Mattias Skjelmose outfinish Mathieu van der Poel?
(2026/07/04) In the Tour de France, will Isaac del Toro outfinish Oscar Onley?
(2026/07/04) In the Tour de France, will Paul Sexias outfinish Florian Lipowitz?
(2026/01/20) In the Santos Down Under Prologue, will Adam Yates outfinish Jhonatan Narváez?
(2026/07/26) In the Tour de France, will Mattieu Van Der Poel outfinish Juan Ayuso?
(2026/07/26) In the Tour de France, will Jasper Philipsen outfinish Jonathan Milan?
(2026/10/10) In the Il Lombardia, will Filippo Ganna outfinish Mathieu van der Poel?
(2026/07/26) In the Tour de France, will Juan Ayuso outfinish Jonas Vingegaard?
(2026/07/26) In the Tour de France, will Jasper Philipsen outfinish Jonas Vingegaard?
(2026/07/26) In the Tour de France, will Mattieu Van Der Poel outfinish Jonas Vingegaard?
(2026/01/21) After the 1st stage of Santos Down Under, will Jay Vine outfinish Matthew Brennan?
(2026/01/18) After the 2nd stage of the Womens' Santos Down Under, will Amanda Spratt outfinish Ally Wollaston?
(2026/01/18) After the 2nd stage of the Womens' Santos Down Under, will Mackenzie Coupland outfinish Ally Wollaston?
(2026/01/20) In the Santos Down Under Prologue, will Adam Yates outfinish Ben O'Connor?
(2026/01/20) In the Santos Down Under Prologue, will Corbin Strong outfinish Ben O'Connor?
(2026/01/20) In the Santos Down Under Prologue, will Corbin Strong outfinish Adam Yates?
(2026/01/20) In the Santos Down Under Prologue, will Nicolas Prodhomme outfinish Adam Yates?
(2026/01/20) In the Santos Down Under Prologue, will Corbin Strong outfinish Andrea Bagioli?
(2026/01/21) After the 1st stage of Santos Down Under, will Jay Vine outfinish Samuel Watson?
(2026/01/21) After the 1st stage of Santos Down Under, will Jhonathan Narvaez outfinish Matthew Brennan?
(2026/01/23) After the 3rd stage of Santos Down Under, will Mauro Schmid outfinish Jhonathan Narvaez?
(2026/01/23) After the 3rd stage of Santos Down Under, will Marco Brenner outfinish Harrison Sweeny?
(2026/03/21) In the Milano-San Remo, will Jasper Philipsen outfinish Wout Van Aert?
(2026/03/21) In the Milano-San Remo, will Mads Pedersen outfinish Wout Van Aert?
(2026/03/21) In the Milano-San Remo, will Jasper Philipsen outfinish Mads Pedersen?
(2026/03/21) In the Milano-San Remo, will Jasper Philipsen outfinish Filippo Ganna?
(2026/04/05) In the Tour de Flanders, will Wout van Aert outfinish Mathieu van der Poel?
(2026/04/26) In the Liege-Bastogne-Liege, will Mattias Skjelmose outfinish Pello Bilbao?
(2026/05/31) In the Giro d'Italia, will Guillermo Thomas Silva outfinish Egan Bernal?
(2026/05/30) In the Giro d'Italia, will Guillermo Thomas Silva outfinish Egan Bernal?
(2026/05/31) In the Giro d'Italia, will Jan Christen outfinish Egan Bernal?
(2026/06/07) In the Giro d'Italia Women, will Elisa Balsamo outfinish Lara Gillespie?
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
94
94
80
74
74
74
74
69
66
55
50
50
50
37
17
10
10
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionProbability
[Decathlon] 6 or more WorldTour victories
[Decathlon] Paul Seixas podiums Liege-Bastogne-Liege
[Alpecin] Jasper Philipsen wins Gent-Wevelgem
[UAE] 40 or more WorldTour victories
[Uno-X] 4 or more WorldTour victories
[FDJ-Suez] Demi Vollering scores the most UCI points of any woman in 2026
[Red Bull-BORA] Florian Lipowitz places better than Remco Evenepoel at the Tour de France
[Decathlon] Top 6 in the UCI rankings in 2026
[Lotto-Intermarche] 13 or more victories (.1 or higher)
[Lidl-Trek] Do not podium any Grand Tour GC
[Lidl-Trek] Juan Ayuso podiums the Vuelta a España GC
[Soudal-Quickstep] 15 or more WorldTour victories
[Lidl-Trek] 23 or more WorldTour victories
[Red Bull-BORA] 15 or more WorldTour victories
[Uno-X] Jonas Abrahamsen wins 2 or more Grand Tour stages
[Uno-X] Johannes Kulset scores 1000 or more UCI points
[Lidl-Trek] Mattias Skjelmose leaves the team before the end of 2026
[Red Bull-BORA] Finish on the podium in GC in all three Grand Tours
[Ineos] Sam Welsford wins 4 times as many races (or more) as Arne Marit
[Lidl-Trek] Mads Pedersen does not win a WorldTour race
[Ineos] Joshua Tarling wins more time trials than Remco Evenepoel
[Lotto-Intermarche] 4 or more WorldTour victories
[Decathlon] Olav Kooij wins 4 or more WorldTour races
[Ineos] Egan Bernal and Brandon Rivera sign with Movistar before EOY 2026
[Uno-X] Do not finish in the top 10 of any Grand Tour GC
[Visma] Matthew Brennan wins 3 Vuelta stages + the green jersey
[Lidl-Trek] 3rd in UCI points for the 2026 season
[Alpecin] Win the points classification in two Grand Tours
[Visma] Sepp Kuss finishes better than Jonas Vingegaard at the Tour de France
[Visma] A French rider on Visma wins a WorldTour stage race GC
[Uno-X] Adne Holter scores 1000 or more UCI points
[Visma] Bruno Armirail wins a Tour de France stage
[NSN] Biniam Girmay wins a 1.UWT race
[Decathlon] Paul Seixas wins Il Lombardia
[UAE] Antonio Morgado podiums a 1.UWT classic race
[Visma] Wilco Kelderman wins a race
[Red Bull-BORA] Laurence Pithie podiums a Monument
[Lidl-Trek] Mathias Vacek wins a cobbled classic
[Decathlon] Paul Seixas podiums the Giro d'Italia
[Decathlon] Win a stage in all three Grand Tours
[Soudal-Quickstep] Gianmarco Garofoli wins a Giro d'Italia stage
[Soudal-Quickstep] Gianmarco Garofoli wins the King of the Mountains at the Giro d'Italia
[Soudal-Quickstep] Ilan van Wilder has a better average finishing position than Remco Evenepoel in the Ardennes classics (Amstel, Fleche, LBL)
[UAE] Tadej Pogacar wins all five Monuments
[NSN] Corbin Strong podiums Liege-Bastogne-Liege
[Visma] Timo Kielich finishes in the top 5 at Paris-Roubaix
[Visma] Matthew Brennan wins Milan-San Remo
100
100
100
74
73
73
70
66
65
45
45
41
34
33
32
31
31
29
29
24
24
24
23
20
18
18
16
15
15
14
12
12
10
9
8
6
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionProbability
Monuments: Pogacar wins more than 2 Tour de Flanders
Monuments: Pogacar wins more than 2 Giro di Lombardia
Vuelta: Pogacar wins more than 6 individual stages (not including TTT)
Other: Pogacar wins the gold medal at the Olympics Individual Road Race (resolves only to 50% or YES)
TdF: Pogacar wins more than 5 general classifications
TdF: Pogacar wins more than 34 individual stages (not including TTT)
Vuelta: Pogacar wins more than 1 general classifications
Monuments: Pogacar wins more than 5 Liege-Bastogne-Liege
Other: Pogacar wins more than 3 World Road Race Championships
Monuments: Pogacar wins all 5 monuments (resolves only to NO or 50%)
Monuments: Pogacar wins more than 19 monuments
All Grand Tours: Pogacar wins more than 64 individual stages at Grand Tours
All Grand Tours: Pogacar wins more than 11 Grand Tours
Monuments: Pogacar wins more than 3 Paris-Roubaix
Giro: Pogacar wins more than 5 general classifications
Giro: Pogacar wins more than 24 individual stages (not including TTT)
Monuments: Pogacar wins more than 7 Milan-Sanremo
100
100
69
65
62
58
56
56
53
32
26
17
16
10
5
5
3
OptionProbability
Inter Milan
Juventus
AC Milan
Napoli
Roma
atalanta
Other
99
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionProbability
FC Barcelona
Other
English National team
Brazil National Team
Italian National Team
Spain national team
Manchester City
Catalan National team
AC Milan
Napoli
Paris Saint-Germai
Ajax Amsterdam
Netherlands national team
Inter Miami
Borussia Dortmund
Bayern München
German National team
NYCFC
23
20
15
12
9
5
5
5
4
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionProbability
Other
Bayern Munich (Germany)
Barcelona (Spain)
Paris Saint-Germain (France)
Arsenal (England)
Manchester City (England)
Real Madrid (Spain)
Liverpool (England)
Atlético Madrid (Spain)
Inter Milan (Italy)
20
13
13
11
9
9
8
7
6
3
OptionVotes
NO
YES
1150
869
OptionProbability
Bayern Munich (Germany)
Arsenal (England)
Paris Saint-Germain (France)
Barcelona (Spain)
Manchester City (England)
Real Madrid (Spain)
Inter Milan (Italy)
Aston Villa (England)
Atlético Madrid (Spain)
Manchester United (England)
Liverpool (England)
22
18
16
13
12
11
8
6
5
5
5
OptionProbability
Other
AC Milan
Inter Miami
Napoli
LA Galaxy
Al-Nassr
--finishes career at FC Barcelona--
37
21
9
9
9
9
7
OptionProbability
Other
Paris Saint-Germain
Arsenal
Manchester City
Liverpool
Bayern
Real Madrid
Dortmund
Barcelona
Atletico Madrid
Inter Milan
17
14
10
10
8
8
8
6
6
6
6
OptionProbability
FC Barcelona
Atlético Madrid
Manchester City (Stay)
Paris Saint-Germain
Real Madrid
Chelsea
Bayern Munich
Juventus
Arsenal
Liverpool
Manchester United
Tottenham Hotspur
AC Milan
Inter Milan
Borussia Dortmund
Bayer Leverkusen
Newcastle United
Aston Villa
Other
34
11
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3

