Milky Way News

Will the Milky Way still exist in 2030? [long-term interest rate market]

Jan 9, 8:06 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

96.84%chance

67268839

OptionVotes

YES

5543

181

How many stars are formed per average year in the Milky Way?

Nov 2, 8:33 AMJun 15, 10:59 PM

144402

OptionProbability

6 to 7

0 to 1

5 to 6

8 to 9

100 to 1,000

1 to 2

9 to 10

4 to 5

10 to 100

2 to 3

3 to 4

P(Aliens) - Is there human-level or above intelligent life in the Milky Way?

Dec 12, 11:43 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

50.48%chance

674020

OptionVotes

YES

1291

509

Does a civilization with Kardashev rating equal or greater than 1 exist in the Milky Way?

Aug 10, 1:30 PMDec 31, 11:00 PM

25.12%chance

371105

OptionVotes

YES

1247

887

What percentage of Milky Way stars have >0 planets?

Nov 2, 8:34 AMJun 15, 10:59 PM

73.46%chance

271001

OptionVotes

YES

995

968

P(Aliens) - Are the 2020-2022 Pentagon UFO Navy videos evidence of human-level or above intelligent life in the Milky Way?

Dec 12, 11:45 PMDec 1, 11:59 PM

20.13%chance

21965

OptionVotes

YES

1006

706

Will the Milky Way collide with the Andromeda galaxy?

Sep 30, 10:37 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

80.6%chance

18507

OptionVotes

YES

992

986

What explains the Hubble Tension

Jan 19, 3:13 PMJan 19, 3:06 PM

9489

OptionProbability

Evolving dark energy with time-dependent properties

Systematic errors in distance measurement techniques

Relativistic backreaction / timescape cosmology (breakdown of global FLRW averaging)

Early dark energy in the early universe

Local cosmic void (KBC void) around the Milky Way

Measurement errors in CMB calibration

Interactions between dark matter and dark energy

New relativistic particles in early universe

Rotating universe model

Vacuum phase transition in early universe

Modified gravity theory (MOND/Milgromian dynamics)

Non-zero spatial curvature of the universe

Will we observe a supernova in the Milky Way Galaxy before 2050?

Aug 2, 4:58 AMJan 1, 2:59 AM

69.77%chance

12284

OptionVotes

YES

260

108

Will AGI successfully intervene and prevent the collision between the Milky Way Galaxy and the Andromeda Galaxy?

May 3, 4:53 PMDec 4, 5:59 AM

21.3%chance

8267

OptionVotes

YES

175

Do we live in a Local Hole?

Jan 21, 2:12 AMJan 1, 2:05 AM

30.77%chance

150

OptionVotes

YES

150

How many new interstellar objects will be discovered in 2026 that will pass through the Milky Way at a future time.

Jan 29, 8:17 PMDec 31, 8:13 PM

OptionProbability

Milky Way News

Prediction markets for Milky Way

Prediction markets for Milky Way

Prediction markets for Milky Way

Will the Milky Way still exist in 2030? [long-term interest rate market]

How many stars are formed per average year in the Milky Way?

P(Aliens) - Is there human-level or above intelligent life in the Milky Way?

Does a civilization with Kardashev rating equal or greater than 1 exist in the Milky Way?

What percentage of Milky Way stars have >0 planets?

P(Aliens) - Are the 2020-2022 Pentagon UFO Navy videos evidence of human-level or above intelligent life in the Milky Way?

Will the Milky Way collide with the Andromeda galaxy?

What explains the Hubble Tension

Will we observe a supernova in the Milky Way Galaxy before 2050?

Will AGI successfully intervene and prevent the collision between the Milky Way Galaxy and the Andromeda Galaxy?

Do we live in a Local Hole?

How many new interstellar objects will be discovered in 2026 that will pass through the Milky Way at a future time.

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