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Prediction markets for Millenium

Will any remaining Millenium Prize problem be solved entirely or mostly by humans?

Oct 19, 8:49 PMOct 27, 6:59 AM

45%chance

13338759

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1804

433

Will an unsolved millenium prize problem be solved by AI by the end of 2028

Aug 6, 7:13 AMDec 31, 1:29 PM

27%chance

11734938

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1017

885

Will at least one of the remaining Millenium Problems be solved before 2030?

Feb 28, 3:09 PMDec 31, 9:01 PM

40%chance

13022398

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1108

1091

AI solves Millenium Prize Problem in 2026?

Dec 30, 1:48 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

7.89%chance

3910163

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3421

293

Will any Millenium Prize Problem (other than the Poincaré conjecture) be solved by 2030?

Jan 7, 8:20 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

44.73%chance

929887

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1108

778

Which millenium problem will be solved first?

Feb 17, 9:26 PMFeb 25, 7:59 AM

617242

OptionProbability

Navier-Stokes problem

BSD Conjecture

Riemann hypothesis

Yang-Mills Existence and mass gap

Hodge Conjecture

P vs NP

73

8

6

5

4

4

Which of the Millenium Prize problems will be solved next?

Apr 18, 8:08 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

356248

OptionProbability

Navier-Stokes

Birch Swinnerton Dyer Conjecture

Riemann Hypothesis

Hodge Conjecture

Yang-Mills Mass Gap

P vs NP

Other

48

23

11

7

6

4

2

Will any Millenium Prize Problem (other than the Poincaré conjecture) be solved by 2040?

Feb 13, 12:22 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

82.05%chance

152592

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2138

468

When will one of the remaining Millenium Problems be solved?

Jan 10, 6:33 PMDec 31, 9:01 PM

141423

OptionProbability

2024-2029

Other

2030-2035

2035-2040

48

36

9

7

Navier Stonks (ie Will the prize for the resolution of the Navier-Stokes millenium problem be taken ?)

Apr 9, 12:13 PMApr 16, 9:59 PM

83%chance

18871

OptionVotes

NO

YES

539

181

Which Millenium Problems will be among the last 3 to be solved?

Oct 6, 5:20 PMOct 6, 5:20 PM

10414

OptionProbability

P vs NP

Hodge Conjecture

Riemann Hypothesis

Yang-Mills

Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer conjecture

Navier-Stokes

Poincare Conjecture

67

64

58

46

34

17

0

Is any Millenium problem independent of ZFC?

Apr 9, 7:17 AMApr 16, 7:17 AM

33.59%chance

467

OptionVotes

YES

NO

151

81

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