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Prediction markets for Millenium

Will an unsolved millenium prize problem be solved by AI by the end of 2028

Aug 6, 7:13 AMDec 31, 1:29 PM

97.6%chance

17960978

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3196

25

Will any remaining Millenium Prize problem be solved entirely or mostly by humans?

Oct 19, 8:49 PMOct 27, 6:59 AM

15.95%chance

15145860

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2512

140

Will at least one of the remaining Millenium Problems be solved before 2030?

Feb 28, 3:09 PMDec 31, 9:01 PM

96.99%chance

17237035

OptionVotes

NO

YES

5157

105

Will any Millenium Prize Problem (other than the Poincaré conjecture) be solved by 2030?

Jan 7, 8:20 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

98.81%chance

13933708

OptionVotes

NO

YES

5939

40

Will any Millenium Prize Problem (other than the Poincaré conjecture) be solved by 2040?

Feb 13, 12:22 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

99%chance

184824

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3341

9

Navier Stonks (ie Will the prize for the resolution of the Navier-Stokes millenium problem be taken ?)

Apr 9, 12:13 PMApr 16, 9:59 PM

5%chance

231955

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1008

32

Will any of the remaining Millenium Problems be solved with zero to minimal AI use?

Sep 9, 2:54 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

9.59%chance

71205

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1985

843

Will any Millenium Prize Problem (other than the Poincaré conjecture) be solved by 2030?

Aug 1, 4:23 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

98.2%chance

101084

OptionVotes

NO

YES

908

37

Will an unsolved millenium prize problem be solved by AI by the end of 2028

Aug 1, 4:22 PMDec 31, 1:29 PM

96.77%chance

91035

OptionVotes

NO

YES

477

12

Will any Millenium Problem in Biology be solved by EoY 2027?

Sep 20, 12:19 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

39%chance

14715

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1251

800

Will at least one of the remaining Millenium Problems be solved before 2030?

Aug 1, 4:22 PMDec 31, 9:01 PM

97%chance

3668

OptionVotes

NO

YES

639

34

Will any remaining Millenium Prize problem be solved entirely or mostly by humans?

Aug 1, 4:22 PMOct 27, 6:59 AM

16.88%chance

5585

OptionVotes

YES

NO

209

59

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