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Prediction markets for Millennium

Will ANOTHER millennium prize problem be solved in 2026?

Sep 8, 10:46 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

24.25%chance

814734994

OptionVotes

YES

NO

9131

1058

Will Anthropic announce a solution to the Navier-Stokes Millennium problem before IPO?

Sep 5, 3:34 AMNov 30, 6:47 AM

3.75%chance

349438939

OptionVotes

YES

NO

53897

4382

Will at least 4 of the 7 Millennium Problems be solved by 2040?

Apr 3, 6:33 PMDec 31, 6:29 PM

91%chance

323325344

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3440

246

All Millennium Prize Problems solved before 2030?

Sep 8, 11:02 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

38.37%chance

202253938

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1267

789

Will Artificial Intelligence solve a Millennium Prize Problem before 2030?

Oct 1, 3:16 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

97%chance

377226100

OptionVotes

NO

YES

5064

2

All Millennium Prize Problems solved before May 2027?

Sep 8, 11:12 PMApr 30, 11:59 PM

8.05%chance

90210725

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3380

296

Will all Millennium prize problems be solved (or proved unsolvable) by 2040?

Mar 14, 9:28 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

72.97%chance

11781270

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1568

166

Will Artificial Intelligence solve a Millennium Prize Problem before 2035?

Oct 11, 5:58 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

96.98%chance

13061823

OptionVotes

NO

YES

19704

1249

Will all Millennium prize problems be solved (or proved unsolvable) by 2030?

Mar 14, 9:29 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

45%chance

9144247

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1179

142

Will all 7 Millennium Problems be solved by 2040?

Apr 3, 8:20 PMDec 31, 6:29 PM

59.38%chance

11644149

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1403

340

AI solves a Millennium Prize Problem before 2030?

Jul 4, 3:25 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

95.32%chance

463184

OptionVotes

NO

YES

451

22

What happens first: AI beats Minecraft (RSG) in under 10 minutes or All Millennium Prize Problems Solved?

Oct 17, 10:05 PMOct 17, 10:04 PM

193142

OptionProbability

AI beats Minecraft (RSG) in under 10 minutes

All Millennium Prize Problems Solved

82

18

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