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Prediction markets for Millennium

Will at least 4 of the 7 Millennium Problems be solved by 2040?

Apr 3, 6:33 PMDec 31, 6:29 PM

50%chance

217172957

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1300

940

Will Artificial Intelligence solve a Millennium Prize Problem before 2030?

Oct 1, 3:16 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

31%chance

18679660

OptionVotes

NO

YES

4803

133

Will all Millennium prize problems be solved (or proved unsolvable) by 2040?

Mar 14, 9:28 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

27.66%chance

4333399

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1009

754

Will all 7 Millennium Problems be solved by 2040?

Apr 3, 8:20 PMDec 31, 6:29 PM

20%chance

9024149

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1253

884

In what year will artificial intelligence solve a Millennium Prize Problem?

Jun 20, 4:02 AMJan 1, 5:00 PM

5713832

Will Artificial Intelligence solve a Millennium Prize Problem before 2035?

Oct 11, 5:58 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

51.21%chance

10010501

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3855

1987

Will artificial intelligence be part of a solution of the NEXT Millennium Problem?

Aug 16, 4:34 AMJan 1, 2:59 AM

71.25%chance

808638

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1406

758

Will at least 2 of the 7 Millennium Problems be solved by 2040?

Apr 3, 8:20 PMDec 31, 6:29 PM

70%chance

687305

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1100

920

Will artificial intelligence be part of a solution of the second Millennium Problem solved from now?

Sep 13, 12:23 AMSep 13, 6:59 AM

85%chance

374129

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1488

824

Will a correct solution to a Millennium Prize Problem be published by the end of 2030?

Sep 29, 12:01 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

41.67%chance

313792

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1141

734

Will an AI solve a Millennium problem by EOY 2027?

Dec 21, 8:12 PMDec 31, 12:00 AM

26.04%chance

192662

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1685

593

Will some Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI before 2032?

May 12, 3:43 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

26.56%chance

12869

OptionVotes

YES

NO

166

60

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