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Prediction markets for Millennium

Will at least 4 of the 7 Millennium Problems be solved by 2040?

Apr 3, 6:33 PMDec 31, 6:29 PM

66%chance

286265221

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1721

641

Will Artificial Intelligence solve a Millennium Prize Problem before 2030?

Oct 1, 3:16 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

54.49%chance

266122165

OptionVotes

NO

YES

4864

50

Will all Millennium prize problems be solved (or proved unsolvable) by 2040?

Mar 14, 9:28 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

37.85%chance

8154308

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1126

529

Will all 7 Millennium Problems be solved by 2040?

Apr 3, 8:20 PMDec 31, 6:29 PM

33.93%chance

10339937

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1067

736

Will a millennium problem be solved in 2026?

May 11, 6:28 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

6.48%chance

5119545

OptionVotes

YES

NO

380

26

In what year will artificial intelligence solve a Millennium Prize Problem?

Jun 20, 4:02 AMJan 1, 5:00 PM

6418644

OptionProbability

2025-2029

2030-2034

2035-2039

2040-2044

2045-2050

54

19

11

9

6

In what year will Artificial Intelligence solve a Millennium Prize Problem?

Sep 30, 7:50 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

6713340

OptionProbability

2025-2029

2030-2049

2050-2074

2075-2099

Other

60

33

5

1

0

Will Artificial Intelligence solve a Millennium Prize Problem before 2035?

Oct 11, 5:58 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

59.66%chance

10511871

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3443

2500

AI solves Millennium Prize Problem in 2026?

Dec 30, 1:48 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

10.12%chance

4611564

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3130

136

Will all Millennium prize problems be solved (or proved unsolvable) by 2030?

Mar 14, 9:29 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

12.3%chance

569771

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1006

708

Will Artificial intelligence solve a Millennium Prize Problem before 2050?

Oct 1, 4:05 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

80.4%chance

423497

OptionVotes

NO

YES

284

110

AI solves a Millennium Prize Problem before 2030?

Jul 4, 3:25 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

53.49%chance

361949

OptionVotes

NO

YES

107

93

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