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Prediction markets for Millennium

Will at least 4 of the 7 Millennium Problems be solved by 2040?

Apr 3, 6:33 PMDec 31, 6:29 PM

48.26%chance

252212038

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1266

981

Will Artificial Intelligence solve a Millennium Prize Problem before 2030?

Oct 1, 3:16 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

28%chance

226102486

OptionVotes

NO

YES

4797

153

Will all Millennium prize problems be solved (or proved unsolvable) by 2040?

Mar 14, 9:28 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

27.79%chance

7449671

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1017

756

Will all 7 Millennium Problems be solved by 2040?

Apr 3, 8:20 PMDec 31, 6:29 PM

25.98%chance

9331314

OptionVotes

YES

NO

975

966

In what year will artificial intelligence solve a Millennium Prize Problem?

Jun 20, 4:02 AMJan 1, 5:00 PM

6116090

OptionProbability

2025-2029

2030-2034

2035-2039

2040-2044

2045-2050

40

26

15

12

8

Will Artificial Intelligence solve a Millennium Prize Problem before 2035?

Oct 11, 5:58 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

51.89%chance

10210773

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3820

2023

Will all Millennium prize problems be solved (or proved unsolvable) by 2030?

Mar 14, 9:29 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

3.95%chance

549062

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2160

902

Will at least 2 of the 7 Millennium Problems be solved by 2040?

Apr 3, 8:20 PMDec 31, 6:29 PM

77.06%chance

707605

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1400

813

Will artificial intelligence be part of a solution of the second Millennium Problem solved from now?

Sep 13, 12:23 AMSep 13, 6:59 AM

81.49%chance

374388

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1229

876

In what year will Artificial Intelligence solve a Millennium Prize Problem?

Sep 30, 7:50 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

513749

OptionProbability

2030-2049

2025-2029

2050-2074

2075-2099

Other

55

20

19

5

1

Will Artificial intelligence solve a Millennium Prize Problem before 2050?

Oct 1, 4:05 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

80.4%chance

423497

OptionVotes

NO

YES

284

110

AI solves a Millennium Prize Problem before 2030?

Jul 4, 3:25 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

35.61%chance

301463

OptionVotes

YES

NO

134

74

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