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Prediction markets for Millennium

Will Anthropic announce a solution to the Navier-Stokes Millennium problem before IPO?

Sep 5, 3:34 AMOct 31, 5:47 AM

5.72%chance

336358442

OptionVotes

YES

NO

39966

5058

Will at least 4 of the 7 Millennium Problems be solved by 2040?

Apr 3, 6:33 PMDec 31, 6:29 PM

88.21%chance

317320623

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3032

293

Will ANOTHER millennium prize problem be solved in 2026?

Sep 8, 10:46 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

57.48%chance

541313756

OptionVotes

YES

NO

6226

3047

Will Artificial Intelligence solve a Millennium Prize Problem before 2030?

Oct 1, 3:16 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

98%chance

363215164

OptionVotes

NO

YES

5090

1

All Millennium Prize Problems solved before 2030?

Sep 8, 11:02 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

20%chance

158109278

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2000

500

Will all Millennium prize problems be solved (or proved unsolvable) by 2040?

Mar 14, 9:28 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

73.55%chance

11680849

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1578

162

All Millennium Prize Problems solved before May 2027?

Sep 8, 11:12 PMApr 30, 11:59 PM

8%chance

5880646

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3391

295

In what year will artificial intelligence solve a Millennium Prize Problem?

Jun 20, 4:02 AMJan 1, 5:00 PM

8278300

OptionProbability

2025-2029

2030-2034

2035-2039

2040-2044

2045-2050

98

1

1

0

0

Will Artificial Intelligence solve a Millennium Prize Problem before 2035?

Oct 11, 5:58 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

96.96%chance

13054137

OptionVotes

NO

YES

19591

1253

Will all 7 Millennium Problems be solved by 2040?

Apr 3, 8:20 PMDec 31, 6:29 PM

47.93%chance

11041787

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1243

479

Will all Millennium prize problems be solved (or proved unsolvable) by 2030?

Mar 14, 9:29 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

25%chance

7129217

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1088

322

AI solves a Millennium Prize Problem before 2030?

Jul 4, 3:25 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

93.93%chance

463181

OptionVotes

NO

YES

393

25

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