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Prediction markets for Millennium

Will at least 4 of the 7 Millennium Problems be solved by 2040?

Apr 3, 6:33 PMDec 31, 6:29 PM

46%chance

232195052

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1215

1031

Will Artificial Intelligence solve a Millennium Prize Problem before 2030?

Oct 1, 3:16 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

27%chance

20292581

OptionVotes

NO

YES

4792

161

Will all Millennium prize problems be solved (or proved unsolvable) by 2040?

Mar 14, 9:28 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

30%chance

4533756

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1035

690

Will all 7 Millennium Problems be solved by 2040?

Apr 3, 8:20 PMDec 31, 6:29 PM

23%chance

9129675

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1099

926

In what year will artificial intelligence solve a Millennium Prize Problem?

Jun 20, 4:02 AMJan 1, 5:00 PM

6015812

OptionProbability

2025-2029

2030-2034

2035-2039

2040-2044

2045-2050

38

28

15

12

8

Will Artificial Intelligence solve a Millennium Prize Problem before 2035?

Oct 11, 5:58 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

52.26%chance

10110558

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3802

2044

Will artificial intelligence be part of a solution of the NEXT Millennium Problem?

Aug 16, 4:34 AMJan 1, 2:59 AM

66.38%chance

838788

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1235

835

Will at least 2 of the 7 Millennium Problems be solved by 2040?

Apr 3, 8:20 PMDec 31, 6:29 PM

72.69%chance

697405

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1200

880

Will all Millennium prize problems be solved (or proved unsolvable) by 2030?

Mar 14, 9:29 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

7.02%chance

506953

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1243

952

Will Artificial intelligence solve a Millennium Prize Problem before 2050?

Oct 1, 4:05 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

84%chance

413487

OptionVotes

NO

YES

330

100

In what year will Artificial Intelligence solve a Millennium Prize Problem?

Sep 30, 7:50 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

503444

OptionProbability

2030-2049

2025-2029

2050-2074

2075-2099

Other

47

36

13

3

1

AI solves a Millennium Prize Problem before 2030?

Jul 4, 3:25 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

32.18%chance

271411

OptionVotes

YES

NO

145

69

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