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Prediction markets for Millennium

Will at least 4 of the 7 Millennium Problems be solved by 2040?

Apr 3, 6:33 PMDec 31, 6:29 PM

49.17%chance

254212415

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1285

961

Will Artificial Intelligence solve a Millennium Prize Problem before 2030?

Oct 1, 3:16 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

30.35%chance

238109670

OptionVotes

NO

YES

4804

137

Will all Millennium prize problems be solved (or proved unsolvable) by 2040?

Mar 14, 9:28 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

22.42%chance

7450223

OptionVotes

NO

YES

954

944

Will all 7 Millennium Problems be solved by 2040?

Apr 3, 8:20 PMDec 31, 6:29 PM

23.17%chance

9932204

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1091

928

In what year will artificial intelligence solve a Millennium Prize Problem?

Jun 20, 4:02 AMJan 1, 5:00 PM

6116101

OptionProbability

2025-2029

2030-2034

2035-2039

2040-2044

2045-2050

40

26

15

12

8

Will Artificial Intelligence solve a Millennium Prize Problem before 2035?

Oct 11, 5:58 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

51.78%chance

10210779

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3826

2018

Will all Millennium prize problems be solved (or proved unsolvable) by 2030?

Mar 14, 9:29 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

3.95%chance

549062

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2160

902

Will at least 2 of the 7 Millennium Problems be solved by 2040?

Apr 3, 8:20 PMDec 31, 6:29 PM

77.06%chance

707605

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1400

813

Will artificial intelligence be part of a solution of the second Millennium Problem solved from now?

Sep 13, 12:23 AMSep 13, 6:59 AM

81.49%chance

374388

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1229

876

In what year will Artificial Intelligence solve a Millennium Prize Problem?

Sep 30, 7:50 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

513749

OptionProbability

2030-2049

2025-2029

2050-2074

2075-2099

Other

55

20

19

5

1

Will Artificial intelligence solve a Millennium Prize Problem before 2050?

Oct 1, 4:05 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

80.4%chance

423497

OptionVotes

NO

YES

284

110

AI solves a Millennium Prize Problem before 2030?

Jul 4, 3:25 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

35.61%chance

301463

OptionVotes

YES

NO

134

74

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