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Prediction markets for Millennium

Will at least 4 of the 7 Millennium Problems be solved by 2040?

Apr 3, 6:33 PMDec 31, 6:29 PM

68.68%chance

293279439

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1812

597

Will Artificial Intelligence solve a Millennium Prize Problem before 2030?

Oct 1, 3:16 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

66.26%chance

293135408

OptionVotes

NO

YES

4893

31

Will all Millennium prize problems be solved (or proved unsolvable) by 2040?

Mar 14, 9:28 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

47.81%chance

9461992

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1233

385

Will all 7 Millennium Problems be solved by 2040?

Apr 3, 8:20 PMDec 31, 6:29 PM

34.52%chance

10841308

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1074

722

Will all Millennium prize problems be solved (or proved unsolvable) by 2030?

Mar 14, 9:29 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

9.12%chance

6725616

OptionVotes

NO

YES

977

959

AI solves Millennium Prize Problem in 2026?

Dec 30, 1:48 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

9.03%chance

5122489

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3242

125

In what year will artificial intelligence solve a Millennium Prize Problem?

Jun 20, 4:02 AMJan 1, 5:00 PM

6819648

OptionProbability

2025-2029

2030-2034

2035-2039

2040-2044

2045-2050

59

17

10

8

6

In what year will Artificial Intelligence solve a Millennium Prize Problem?

Sep 30, 7:50 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

7015103

OptionProbability

2025-2029

2030-2049

2050-2074

Other

2075-2099

60

29

6

4

1

Will Artificial Intelligence solve a Millennium Prize Problem before 2035?

Oct 11, 5:58 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

73.7%chance

10814221

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3839

2789

Will an AI solve a Millennium problem by EOY 2027?

Dec 21, 8:12 PMDec 31, 12:00 AM

31.26%chance

497631

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1483

674

Will some Millennium Prize Problem be solved before 2028?

Jun 1, 1:01 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

41.33%chance

316885

OptionVotes

YES

NO

119

84

AI solves a Millennium Prize Problem before 2030?

Jul 4, 3:25 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

61.82%chance

361975

OptionVotes

NO

YES

127

79

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