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Minerva News
Prediction markets for Minerva
Prediction markets for Minerva
Will I drop out of Minerva University by 2027?
Feb 24, 4:02 AM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
61.44%
chance
36
4031
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1000
938
Benchmark Gap #1: Once we have a language model that achieves expert human performance on all *current* major NLP benchmarks, how many years will it be before we have an AI with human-level language skills?
Oct 27, 5:11 PM
Jan 1, 8:00 AM
8.61%
chance
11
715
Option
Probability
YES
NO
1249
958
will I speak conversational Russian by the time I graduate Minerva University in 2028
May 24, 6:16 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
51.1%
chance
7
633
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1022
978
Will Minerva University survive the next 10 years?
Jan 2, 10:11 PM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
93.19%
chance
5
261
Option
Votes
NO
YES
334
31
Will Minerva University survive the next 10 years?
Jan 2, 10:12 PM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
95.02%
chance
3
240
Option
Votes
NO
YES
310
23
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