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Prediction markets for Minister

Who will be the next British Prime Minister following a General Election?

Sep 29, 9:19 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

6260929

OptionProbability

Keir Starmer

Nigel Farage

Other

Robert Jenrick

Kemi Badenoch

Angela Rayner

James Cleverly

Jeremy Clarkson

Jeremy Corbyn

Boris Johnson

Richard Tice

Rupert Lowe

Ed Davey

Idris Elba

34

26

19

6

5

4

3

1

1

1

0

0

0

0

If Labour wins a majority government at the 2024 election, will Keir Starmer be prime minister on 1st January 2028?

Jun 4, 4:21 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

70.97%chance

3234362

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1564

640

Who will be the prime minister of Canada after the next election?

Apr 28, 10:00 PMApr 28, 9:54 PM

5927537

OptionProbability

Mark Carney

Other

Pierre Poilievre

Doug Ford

Justin Trudeau

42

40

14

4

0

Will Benjamin Netanyahu remain Prime Minister of Israel throughout 2025?

Jan 22, 6:19 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

86.66%chance

4720282

OptionVotes

NO

YES

24783

2497

When will Keir Starmer be replaced as Prime Minister of the UK?

Jul 10, 9:36 AMMar 31, 10:59 PM

3310615

OptionProbability

2029

Other

2026

2027

2028

2025

2030

2024

41

19

11

11

10

4

3

0

Will Viktor Orban remain Hungary's prime minister after the 2026 elections?

Aug 7, 11:51 AMApr 1, 9:59 PM

21.13%chance

608501

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2022

214

By 2040, will Nathan Young (twitter handle @NathanpmYoung) become Prime Minister?

Nov 20, 11:25 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

2.98%chance

598328

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3890

1487

Will Keir Starmer be UK Prime Minister at the end of 2029?

Jun 4, 2:15 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

41.94%chance

243611

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1176

850

Will Narendra Modi be Prime Minister of India after 2029 election?

Dec 17, 4:37 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

70.68%chance

241515

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1676

364

Will Putin's former defense minister Sergei Shoigu be alive at the end of 2025?

May 12, 11:36 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

87.11%chance

301360

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1985

1730

Will the Portuguese ex-prime-minister José Sócrates serve time in prison due to Operação Marquês?

Jul 4, 4:48 PMDec 31, 12:57 PM

21.91%chance

31111

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4007

2495

Netanyahu ceases to be prime minister before a permanent Israel-Hamas ceasefire is reached?

Mar 19, 9:08 PMSep 15, 12:00 AM

34.91%chance

11334

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1020

939

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