OptionProbability
Republicans
Democrats
Independents
55
45
0
Mike Lindell
Lisa Demuth
Kendall Qualls
Scott Jensen
Phil Parrish
Kristin Robbins
Patrick Knight
Other
75
15
4
2
1
He will be nominated winning the Republican primary but lose the general election.
He will stay in until the Republican primary but lose it.
He will drop out after the Republican endorsement convention but before the primary.
He will drop out before the Republican endorsement convention.
He will win the Republican primary but drop out before the general election.
He will remain in the race through all stages and win the general election.
66
26
3
Amy Klobuchar (DFL)
Mike Lindell (R)
Kendall Qualls (R)
Lisa Demuth (R)
Bill Gates Jr. (DFL)
Steve Simon (DFL)
Kelly Morrison (DFL)
Erin Murphy (DFL)
Keith Ellison (DFL)
Scott Jensen (R)
Kristin Robbins (R)
Brad Kohler (R)
Jeff Johnson (R)
Chris Madel (R)
Phillip Parrish (R)
Tim Pawlenty (R)
Tom Emmer (R)
Pete Stauber (R)
Mike Newcome (Independent)
Jesse Ventura (Independent)
84
7
OptionVotes
NO
YES
201
88
157
64
148
68
150
67