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Prediction markets for Minor

EOY 2030, how difficult will it be to get gender affirming care (puberty blockers, HRT) for a minor in California?

Jan 22, 7:13 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

50148055

OptionProbability

About the same as in 2024

Notably easier than in 2024

Notably more difficult than in 2024

Virtually impossible

46

27

20

7

Will White British People Become a Minority in the United Kingdom by 2060?

Sep 1, 3:01 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

66.53%chance

384616

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1161

858

Will Hakeem Jeffries be the Majority or Minority Leader in the House after the Midterms?

Oct 20, 12:57 AMNov 30, 11:59 PM

94.52%chance

134315

OptionVotes

NO

YES

4153

241

Did Donald Trump have sex with a minor (underage)? (Sworn court testimony or similar, by 2028-01-01.)

Jul 25, 1:00 AMJan 3, 11:59 PM

35.12%chance

524200

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1122

237

Will Mike Johnson be the Majority or Minority Leader in the House after the Midterms?

Oct 19, 1:09 PMNov 9, 4:59 AM

10.85%chance

162232

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2791

487

Which minor party will enter the Riksdag next?

Sep 23, 7:23 PMSep 13, 11:59 PM

91704

OptionProbability

Other

Nuance Party (Partiet Nyans)

Citizens' Coalition (Medborgerlig Samling)

Feminist Initiative (Feministiskt initiativ)

The Pirate Party (Piratpartiet)

Alternative for Sweden (Alternativ för Sverige)

Örebro Party (Örebropartiet)

54

10

10

9

8

7

3

First House Minority Leader of the next Congress?

Oct 20, 3:00 AMJan 3, 12:00 AM

61522

OptionProbability

Jim Jordan

Steve Scalise

Other

Mike Johnson

Hakeem Jeffries

68

14

9

7

1

Will the British Government ban non-alcoholic drinks for minors in 2026?

Jan 17, 5:36 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

25.89%chance

9681

OptionVotes

YES

NO

169

59

Will Ukraine invade any additional "minor constituent" (check description) of the Russian Federation before 2030-1-1?

Feb 6, 7:51 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

15.5%chance

10368

OptionVotes

YES

NO

215

121

Year that at least nine states in the United States are majority-minority

Jan 16, 4:13 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

29.87%chance

496

OptionProbability

YES

NO

403

259

Will a minor battle be fought in the Caspian Sea before 2040?

Jul 28, 4:38 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

51.54%chance

570

OptionVotes

NO

YES

150

105

Democratic country implements digital curfew for minors before 2035?

May 20, 6:52 AMDec 30, 11:59 PM

40.23%chance

338

OptionVotes

YES

NO

122

82

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