OptionProbability
Victor Wembanyama plays at least 58 games
Warriors miss the playoffs
Jayson Tatum plays at least 100 mins for the Celtics
Celtics make the playoffs
At least one player averages a 50/40/90 shooting season (at least 64 games)
Sixers make the playoffs
Pistons are first seed in the East
SGA has the highest EPM at the end of the season
SGA leads the league in total free throws
OKC Thunder win less than 66 games
SGA wins MVP
At least 3 coaches are fired before the playoff starts
Alperen Sengun makes an All NBA team
Jokic wins MVP
Thunder win at least 70 games
Thunder break Warriors 73-9 wins record
LeBron plays at least 62 games
Bronny James plays at least 800 minutes
Lakers are a top 3 seed in the Western Conference
Mavericks make the playoffs
Knicks are a top 2 seed in the Eastern conference
Luka wins MVP
Austin Reaves wins MIP
A 2024/2025 first/second team All-NBA player is traded
Jokic finishes top 3 in pts/rebounds/assists (each of, not total)
Milwaukee Bucks finish in the play-in spots
Chet Holmgren wins DPOY
Anthony Davis plays are least 50 games for the Mavs
Cooper Flagg outscores Luka's rookie PRA
Giannis gets traded
James Harden leads the league in assists
At least 2 players make at least 300 threes
Luka averages at least 34.5 ppg
At least two 70-point+ games
Rudy Gobert wins DPOY
Ja Morant gets traded
Clippers make the playoffs outright (no play-in)
100
99
88
4
1
0
Other
Simulating Time With Square-Root Space
MIP* = RE
The Complexity of Gradient Descent: CLS = PPAD ∩ PLS
Graph Isomorphism in Quasipolynomial Time
A Dichotomy Theorem for Nonuniform CSPs
Superpolynomial Lower Bounds Against Low-Depth Algebraic Circuits
An Average-Case Depth Hierarchy Theorem for Boolean Circuits
Learning Algorithms from Natural Proofs
Deciding Parity Games in Quasi-polynomial Time
A Proof of the CSP Dichotomy Conjecture
Induced subgraphs of hypercubes and a proof of the Sensitivity Conjecture
36
18
5
