OptionProbability
Celtics make the playoffs
At least 2 players make at least 300 threes
OKC Thunder win less than 66 games
Sixers make the playoffs
Jayson Tatum plays at least 100 mins for the Celtics
Alperen Sengun makes an All NBA team
SGA has the highest EPM at the end of the season
Pistons are first seed in the East
SGA wins MVP
Jokic finishes top 3 in pts/rebounds/assists (each of, not total)
Rudy Gobert wins DPOY
Clippers make the playoffs outright (no play-in)
At least one player averages a 50/40/90 shooting season (at least 64 games)
Victor Wembanyama plays at least 58 games
Warriors miss the playoffs
Cooper Flagg outscores Luka's rookie PRA
Lakers are a top 3 seed in the Western Conference
SGA leads the league in total free throws
At least 3 coaches are fired before the playoff starts
Milwaukee Bucks finish in the play-in spots
Bronny James plays at least 800 minutes
Mavericks make the playoffs
Luka averages at least 34.5 ppg
Chet Holmgren wins DPOY
Austin Reaves wins MIP
At least two 70-point+ games
Knicks are a top 2 seed in the Eastern conference
A 2024/2025 first/second team All-NBA player is traded
James Harden leads the league in assists
Luka wins MVP
LeBron plays at least 62 games
Jokic wins MVP
Thunder win at least 70 games
Thunder break Warriors 73-9 wins record
Anthony Davis plays are least 50 games for the Mavs
Giannis gets traded
Ja Morant gets traded
90
80
76
75
74
67
65
62
50
49
45
44
42
40
38
34
29
25
21
18
17
15
13
12
9
4
2
1
0
Other
Simulating Time With Square-Root Space
MIP* = RE
The Complexity of Gradient Descent: CLS = PPAD ∩ PLS
Graph Isomorphism in Quasipolynomial Time
A Dichotomy Theorem for Nonuniform CSPs
Superpolynomial Lower Bounds Against Low-Depth Algebraic Circuits
An Average-Case Depth Hierarchy Theorem for Boolean Circuits
Learning Algorithms from Natural Proofs
Deciding Parity Games in Quasi-polynomial Time
A Proof of the CSP Dichotomy Conjecture
Induced subgraphs of hypercubes and a proof of the Sensitivity Conjecture
36
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