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Prediction markets for MIT News

8. AI a central issue in the 2026 U.S. midterms. Politics get complex, especially regarding job loss [See full title!]

Dec 28, 11:33 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

62.52%chance

3826421

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1294

776

Will there be an AI loss of control incident that causes over $100 million in damages in 2026?

Apr 1, 7:52 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

22.89%chance

324286

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1764

715

By Jan 2027, will AI independently run 3 successful companies that would've previously needed programmers?

Jun 16, 8:47 PMFeb 1, 4:59 AM

16.21%chance

231543

OptionVotes

NO

YES

999

876

Does Elon Musk already have a CRISPR baby?

Feb 27, 3:31 AMFeb 27, 7:59 AM

6%chance

13733

OptionVotes

YES

NO

396

25

Best General, Not Necessarily Research-Focused A.I. News Source (Permanent)

Apr 4, 3:45 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

6173

OptionProbability

Twitter

Other

Mastodon

OpenAI

Mit news

56

35

4

3

2

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