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Prediction markets for MNX

When will MNX mainnet launch?

Feb 18, 9:37 PMDec 31, 9:35 PM

5381931

OptionProbability

July 2026

August 2026

Other

September 2026

June 2026

March 2026

April 2026

May 2026

40

34

10

9

5

1

1

1

Will MNX hit $100m in volume 2026?

Apr 9, 5:47 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

15.49%chance

3141865

OptionVotes

YES

NO

23359

4281

Will MNX have $1m in volume before September 2026?

Apr 9, 5:45 AMAug 31, 11:59 PM

57.99%chance

2726828

OptionVotes

NO

YES

11748

8512

Which market category on MNX will generate the most volume in 2026?

Apr 9, 4:28 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

2017276

OptionProbability

Equity or index perps

Valuation futures / Pre-IPO

Compute (eg H100 perps)

Non-AI prediction markets

Benchmarkets

42

32

10

9

7

Which benchmarket will have the highest volume on MNX in 2026?

Apr 9, 5:22 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

69599

OptionProbability

Epoch Capabilities Index (ECI)

Other

ARC-AGI

Humanity's Last Exam (HLE)

SWE-Bench

FrontierMath

48

15

13

11

7

6

Will MNX still be operating at EOY 2026?

Feb 18, 8:52 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

93.78%chance

499063

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3232

68

Which companies will Polymarket announce a partnership with in the next 12 months?

Oct 23, 5:05 PMOct 23, 5:04 PM

183293

OptionProbability

MLS

NFL

Fox News

ICC Cricket

BAE Systems

YouTube

Barstool Sports

Netflix

Kalshi

Caesars Entertainment

Bet365

Coinbase

mnx

ESPN

FIFA

Paramount

Manifold

Spotify

100

54

46

45

39

32

30

29

29

27

27

26

23

19

19

14

10

9

Will someone exploit MNX for all of their money (defined expansively)?

Feb 28, 4:55 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

15%chance

122626

OptionVotes

YES

NO

238

42

Will MNX be integrated into Manifold by EOY?

Feb 19, 2:36 AMJan 1, 2:35 AM

16.5%chance

11986

OptionVotes

YES

NO

225

44

Will MNX let people trade Anthropic futures before Anthropic goes public?

Jun 2, 4:53 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

60.68%chance

2255

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1242

805

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