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Prediction markets for Mobil

Frontier LLM mobile apps can be backgrounded mid reasoning in November 2026?

Nov 18, 8:23 PMNov 30, 11:59 PM

95.69%chance

235289

OptionVotes

NO

YES

4731

213

Will Kazakhstan experience mass mobilization, for any reasons, before end of 2026?

Jan 25, 9:30 AMDec 31, 9:28 AM

9.91%chance

304076

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3015

332

Google deploys ads in Gemini web or mobile app by end of 2026

Jan 8, 5:08 AMDec 31, 8:00 PM

7.23%chance

292191

OptionVotes

YES

NO

358

28

Will any popular mobile device feature a touchscreen with the ability to hover your finger above a screen element by the beginning of 2035?

Jan 6, 8:02 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

88.52%chance

261673

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1398

903

Before 2028, will popular mobile phones begin incorporating folding screens or other large moving parts?

Feb 9, 11:44 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

47.04%chance

13759

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1046

943

Will Joe Biden be photographed using a mobility aid (e.g. a cane) before 2029?

Dec 21, 6:48 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

69.07%chance

22581

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1048

967

Will I be eligible for an EU Youth Mobility visa before I turn 30?

Feb 21, 10:51 AMFeb 25, 11:59 PM

29.33%chance

4567

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1552

644

100+ people regain mobility using a Neuralink device by mid 2027

Jun 19, 5:34 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM

39.46%chance

7371

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1239

807

Russia announces new wave of mobilization before June 2027

Oct 20, 3:02 PMMay 31, 11:59 PM

25%chance

11219

OptionVotes

YES

NO

173

58

Most-played mobile game at the end of 2028

Apr 6, 4:47 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

5100

OptionProbability

Other

Call of Duty: Mobile

Candy Crush Saga

46

43

10

Will Bosch Mobility achieve 80 billion euros in sales by 2029?

May 4, 7:41 PMMay 31, 9:59 PM

46.01%chance

350

OptionVotes

YES

NO

105

73

Will the State of California prevail in their lawsuit against Exxon Mobil for false advertising about plastic recycling?

Sep 23, 6:50 PMOct 1, 6:59 AM

52.4%chance

335

OptionVotes

NO

YES

105

95

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