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Prediction markets for MoD

Will the next President of the United States die in an office? [Mod Note: Pun Trap]

May 22, 4:25 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

15%chance

17530283

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3400

1415

Barron Trump is not fully natural [Mod Note: OP includes "steroids, gene therapy, IVF, etc."]

Jun 13, 9:36 PMJun 21, 4:59 AM

42.19%chance

206441

OptionVotes

YES

NO

12038

8179

[M100 sub] Will there be a well-reviewed video game with LLM-based NPC dialogue by 2026 (no mods)?

Sep 28, 9:56 AMMar 1, 11:59 PM

23.44%chance

444618

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1652

532

Will Peter Njeim's Canada PM market get resolved by a mod?

Apr 29, 7:30 PMDec 31, 8:27 PM

1%chance

212218

OptionVotes

YES

NO

995

10

When will a spot Solana ETF be approved? [Mod Note: This should require both the 19b-4 and S-1 Filings]

Jan 12, 2:22 AMJan 1, 12:59 PM

4242

OptionProbability

2025 Q4

2025 Q3

Other

2028 H2

2027 H2

2028 H1

2024 Q4

2025 Q2

2026 Q1

2027 H1

2025 Q1

2026 Q2

2026 H2

23

22

13

7

6

6

5

4

4

4

2

2

2

Will Balatro have Steam Workshop support for mods by the end of 2025?

Jan 24, 6:14 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

47.15%chance

10242

OptionVotes

YES

NO

557

446

I become a mod by 2030?

Jul 21, 8:56 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

13.5%chance

10237

OptionVotes

YES

NO

253

40

Will someone mod Jose Luis Ricon to be leader of Spain in Civ7/Civ6 by 2028?

Aug 8, 12:46 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

40.98%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

NO

80

62

Will Jose Luis Ricon be a NPC character in GTA 6 (or a mod of it) by 2027?

Sep 11, 1:54 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

40.98%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

NO

80

62

Will someone mod an avatar of janus/repligate OR Rochelle Shen as the player character of a Tomb Raider game by EOY2045?

Jan 13, 4:02 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

You can now ping @mods to request moderator attention in any market. What do you think of this?

May 24, 11:46 PM

260

M20 to whoever can get a mod's attention and have them fix this improperly resolved market.

Feb 13, 8:19 PM

00

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