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Prediction markets for MoD

Will the next President of the United States die in an office? [Mod Note: Pun Trap]

May 22, 4:25 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

14.74%chance

17630333

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3450

1406

Barron Trump is not fully natural [Mod Note: OP includes "steroids, gene therapy, IVF, etc."]

Jun 13, 9:36 PMJun 21, 4:59 AM

49.98%chance

218159

OptionVotes

YES

NO

10346

9625

I become a mod by 2030?

Jul 21, 8:56 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

5%chance

181440

OptionVotes

YES

NO

436

23

Current mod loses role by end Sept?

Sep 1, 6:32 PMSep 30, 11:59 PM

18.07%chance

15625

OptionVotes

YES

NO

213

47

Mod queue empty by end Sept?

Sep 1, 6:26 PMSep 30, 11:59 PM

30.98%chance

21585

OptionVotes

YES

NO

149

67

When will a spot Solana ETF be approved? [Mod Note: This should require both the 19b-4 and S-1 Filings]

Jan 12, 2:22 AMJan 1, 12:59 PM

4242

OptionProbability

2025 Q4

2025 Q3

Other

2028 H2

2027 H2

2028 H1

2024 Q4

2025 Q2

2026 Q1

2027 H1

2025 Q1

2026 Q2

2026 H2

23

22

13

7

6

6

5

4

4

4

2

2

2

Will Fion become a mod before reaching a 1,461 day streak?

Aug 12, 2:11 PMDec 17, 3:09 PM

18.77%chance

2108

OptionVotes

YES

NO

208

48

Will Elon Musk become a playable character in Mechwarrior 6 (or a mod)?

Jun 22, 3:06 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

40.98%chance

120

OptionVotes

YES

NO

120

83

WILL THERE BE A DEEPFAKE OF JOSE LUIS RICON BEING MODDED INTO A GTA6 PLAYABLE CHARACTER BY EOY2035?

Dec 7, 1:47 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

45.25%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

NO

110

91

Will someone mod Jose Luis Ricon to be leader of Spain in Civ7/Civ6 by 2028?

Aug 8, 12:46 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

40.98%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

NO

80

62

Hey Mods! This is not fraudulent!

Nov 19, 2:01 AM

29

OptionProbability

NO

YES

105

95

Will someone mod castle.community castle into a halflife mod by 2027

Sep 12, 9:46 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

47.56%chance

15

OptionVotes

YES

NO

105

95

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