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Prediction markets for Moderne

Will there be a major paradigm shift in physics, like Newtonian to Modern Physics, by the end of 2040?

Jan 14, 12:56 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

60%chance

7214451

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1437

338

How many Modern Horizons 3 cards will be banned in Modern by the end of 2025?

May 17, 2:59 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

178984

OptionProbability

At least one

At least two

At least three

At least four

100

100

12

3

Will Fair Neoform be banned in Modern before 2026?

May 18, 12:20 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

6.76%chance

44605

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3715

269

Will Necrodominance be banned in Modern by 5/25/26?

May 25, 9:45 PMMay 26, 3:59 AM

7.75%chance

163693

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3449

290

Will the contaminant hypothesis of modern obesity be judged true by expert consensus before 2032?

Apr 5, 4:28 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

7.71%chance

463532

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1426

903

Most modern companies prefer AI for code reviews 3 months after gpt5 is released?

Jan 15, 8:14 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

15.63%chance

322921

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1524

856

By 2040, the dominant intelligence will be as different from modern humans as modern humans are from cro magnons

Feb 26, 1:39 PMJan 27, 4:59 AM

40.61%chance

16422

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1160

873

Modern Day Debate Stock (Permanent)

Nov 16, 4:42 PMAug 11, 9:43 PM

10279

OptionProbability

NO

YES

253

161

Will Mycosynth Lattice be unbanned in Modern by the end of 2025?

Oct 19, 4:36 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

1%chance

3105

OptionVotes

YES

NO

139

69

Will Splinter Twin be unbanned in Modern by the end of 2025?

Oct 19, 4:36 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

98.56%chance

333

OptionVotes

NO

YES

121

0

Will Field of the Dead be unbanned in Modern by the end of 2025?

Oct 19, 4:37 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

7.62%chance

323

OptionVotes

NO

YES

72

18

Will Eye of Ugin be unbanned in Modern by the end of 2025?

Oct 19, 4:37 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

12.81%chance

322

OptionVotes

NO

YES

73

10

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