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Prediction markets for Modi

Will Narendra Modi win a fourth term as leader of India?

Jun 10, 11:06 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

40.3%chance

508774

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2242

1804

Will the Third Modi Government fall?

Jun 10, 6:47 AMJun 1, 6:29 PM

16.86%chance

213546

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2174

512

Will Narendra Modi cease to be Prime Minister of India before 2030?

Nov 7, 6:11 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

85.28%chance

392009

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1752

784

Will Narendra Modi be Prime Minister of India after 2029 election?

Dec 17, 4:37 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

70.68%chance

241515

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1676

364

Will Modi have a full term as Prime Minister?

Feb 15, 9:15 AMFeb 22, 11:59 PM

83.01%chance

12368

OptionVotes

NO

YES

246

139

Will the 2024 be the last time Modi runs for the office of the Prime Minister?

Sep 27, 10:07 PMJan 1, 11:08 AM

64.15%chance

7133

OptionVotes

NO

YES

138

89

Will Narendra Modi publicly call for a global halt in AI progress before 2028?

Mar 19, 12:53 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

22.49%chance

6125

OptionVotes

YES

NO

325

138

Will Narendra Modi stop being the Prime Minister of India before his death?

Jan 24, 4:53 PMJan 31, 6:29 PM

82.42%chance

8107

OptionVotes

NO

YES

235

115

Will Narendra Modi ever be the President of India?

Jan 24, 4:52 PMDec 31, 6:29 PM

25.49%chance

360

OptionVotes

YES

NO

130

68

Will Donald Trump and Narendra Modi meet in person in year 2027?

Jan 28, 3:53 AMDec 31, 4:59 AM

34.58%chance

336

OptionVotes

YES

NO

123

66

Will Donald Trump and Narendra Modi meet in person in year 2026?

Jan 28, 3:51 AMDec 31, 4:59 AM

36.02%chance

333

OptionVotes

YES

NO

120

67

Who will lead India after Narendra Modi leaves power?

May 3, 3:20 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

332

OptionProbability

Other

Amit Shah

Mamata Banerjee

Rahul Gandhi

51

17

17

15

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