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Prediction markets for Modifi

Will there be a word that is widely accepted as a slur for genetically modified human beings by the end of 2033?

Apr 4, 8:33 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

32.69%chance

492756

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2109

1918

Will there be laws protecting genetically modified humans from hate crimes in the USA by the end of 2060?

Apr 4, 8:40 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

26.75%chance

151031

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1046

950

Will adversarially modified images produced by ANN be confirmed to weakly work on humans?

Aug 18, 11:24 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

41.03%chance

11495

OptionVotes

YES

NO

234

62

Will organ transplant in humans using modified animal organs or chimeras be successful by 2030?

May 15, 5:41 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

90.33%chance

19420

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1308

908

AI-driven tool capable of modifying binary executables per user prompt available by January 1, 2028

Nov 26, 1:52 AMJan 1, 8:59 PM

33.46%chance

8366

OptionVotes

YES

NO

141

71

Will the FDA approve a disease-modifying treatment for Parkinson's disease before 2029?

Apr 24, 9:48 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

57.64%chance

11292

OptionVotes

NO

YES

167

135

Will any genetically modified human embryo be legally born by the end of 2025?

Oct 20, 1:07 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

35.03%chance

15286

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1087

943

Will someone be prosecuted for a hate crime against a genetically modified human being in the USA by the end of 2060?

Apr 4, 8:35 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

57.02%chance

795

OptionVotes

NO

YES

258

185

Will the United States government abolish or substantially modify the student loan system before January 1, 2026?

Nov 8, 3:44 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

32.74%chance

380

OptionVotes

YES

NO

143

70

Will there be a human that is genetically modified to see in complete darkness by 2100?

Jun 12, 4:15 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

30.77%chance

125

OptionVotes

YES

NO

95

53

When will a person who was not screened or genetically modified as an embryo file a lawsuit against their parents for not doing so?

Jun 30, 1:41 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

411

OptionProbability

Other

2070

2055

81

10

8

When will a person who was screened or genetically modified as an embryo file a lawsuit against their parents for doing so?

Jun 30, 1:40 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

33

OptionProbability

Other

2060

2085

94

4

2

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