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Prediction markets for MoJ

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be Iran’s supreme leader on 1 January 2027?

Mar 11, 3:15 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

84.59%chance

439809

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2343

427

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be killed by US/Israeli forces in 2026?

Mar 4, 8:51 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

12.66%chance

619337

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2626

381

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be alive on Jan 1, 2027?

Mar 8, 9:34 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

80.67%chance

748753

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1502

840

Is Mojtaba Khamenei already dead?

Mar 11, 6:04 PMDec 31, 5:21 PM

5.35%chance

457870

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4206

238

Why hasn't Mojtaba Khamenei been seen in public?

Jul 10, 3:18 PMJan 1, 12:59 AM

254487

OptionProbability

In hiding from US/Israeli assassination

Other serious injuries make him unable or unwilling to appear in public

Other

Dead

Not conscious: in a coma, etc

He's a puppet/figurehead who can't be trusted to give any statements

46

33

8

6

3

3

Will Mojo displace Python as the language of most AI papers on Arxiv by 2026

May 5, 2:52 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

2.24%chance

213703

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3766

842

Will the new programming language Mojo enter the TIOBE Top 20 popularity index before 2027?

May 5, 3:04 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

11.09%chance

291774

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1896

812

Will I find a way to archive Mojang's JIRA/Atlassian instance before it goes down? (Please make suggestions.)

Jun 19, 12:59 AMJan 2, 1:55 AM

39.6%chance

51081

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1235

810

In how many days will Mojtaba Khamenei die?

Mar 11, 10:28 AMDec 31, 11:00 PM

241064

OptionProbability

After March 31 2026.

Before 01/01 2027

During April 2026.

Within 10 days.

100

12

1

0

Mojo programming language fully open-sourced by December 31, 2026

Jun 4, 9:50 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

99%chance

8945

OptionVotes

NO

YES

995

10

Will Mojang nerf the elytra in 2026?

Jan 8, 10:41 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM

9.96%chance

5933

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1919

850

Will Mojo displace Python as the language of most AI papers on Arxiv by 2030

May 5, 6:01 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

13.45%chance

18724

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1470

888

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