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Prediction markets for MoJ

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be Iran’s supreme leader on 1 January 2027?

Mar 11, 3:15 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

79.71%chance

399241

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1982

504

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be killed by US/Israeli forces in 2026?

Mar 4, 8:51 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

15.57%chance

598628

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2329

429

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be alive on Jan 1, 2027?

Mar 8, 9:34 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

76.35%chance

698025

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1255

907

Is Mojtaba Khamenei already dead?

Mar 11, 6:04 PMDec 31, 5:21 PM

5.14%chance

447865

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4297

233

Why hasn't Mojtaba Khamenei been seen in public?

Jul 10, 3:18 PMJan 1, 12:59 AM

234438

OptionProbability

In hiding from US/Israeli assassination

Other serious injuries make him unable or unwilling to appear in public

Other

Dead

Not conscious: in a coma, etc

He's a puppet/figurehead who can't be trusted to give any statements

52

30

7

5

3

3

Will Mojo displace Python as the language of most AI papers on Arxiv by 2026

May 5, 2:52 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

3.74%chance

162116

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2329

885

Will the new programming language Mojo enter the TIOBE Top 20 popularity index before 2027?

May 5, 3:04 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

11.3%chance

271724

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1866

816

Will I find a way to archive Mojang's JIRA/Atlassian instance before it goes down? (Please make suggestions.)

Jun 19, 12:59 AMJan 2, 1:55 AM

39.6%chance

51081

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1235

810

Will Mojang nerf the elytra in 2026?

Jan 8, 10:41 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM

10.58%chance

5833

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1819

861

Will Mojo displace Python as the language of most AI papers on Arxiv by 2030

May 5, 6:01 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

13.45%chance

18724

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1470

888

Mojtaba Khamenei launches a terrorist attack on the US by when?

May 30, 1:40 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

7297

OptionProbability

Before December 2027

Before August 2027

Before March 2027

Before December 2026

Before August 2026

26

21

19

16

10

Mojo stock

May 7, 1:41 AMMay 7, 3:59 AM

662

OptionProbability

NO

YES

116

72

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