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Top stories

Russia Restarts Druzhba Crude Flows to Hungary After Drone Strike

Russia Restarts Druzhba Crude Flows to Hungary After Drone Strike

Authors

11

5 months ago

Prediction markets for MOL

Will Curtis Yarvin ("Mencius Moldbug") be charged with any felony crime before 2030?

Jan 2, 5:57 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

5.36%chance

272201

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2014

871

Will Moltbook be TIME person of the year 2026?

Jan 31, 5:00 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

1.01%chance

171956

OptionVotes

YES

NO

991

10

How many weekly active users will moltbook have by end of March 2026?

Jan 31, 1:17 PMMar 31, 11:59 PM

31515

OptionProbability

Above 0

Above 1,000

Above 10,000

Above 100,000

Above 1,000,000

Above 10,000,000

95

93

88

80

50

35

If/When we find aliens will there primary molecule for life be carbon

Apr 3, 10:36 AMDec 11, 4:59 AM

87.66%chance

211296

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1409

861

Will something CRAZY happen on Moltbook by March?

Jan 30, 8:40 PMFeb 28, 11:59 PM

23.14%chance

271206

OptionVotes

YES

NO

182

55

Will Moltbook survive through feb 2026?

Jan 31, 2:10 PMMar 1, 2:06 PM

90.62%chance

281177

OptionVotes

NO

YES

311

32

Will Jon Zherka get convicted for child molestation before 2030?

Dec 18, 8:04 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

31.21%chance

12986

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1294

826

Will a general molecular assembler, as imagined by Eric Drexler, be built before 2035?

Nov 2, 4:01 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

32.46%chance

14587

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1139

442

Will Donald Trump continue to molest the money?

Sep 22, 2:53 AMJan 21, 2:49 AM

48.77%chance

4514

OptionVotes

NO

YES

695

183

Will Moltbook solve any open FrontierMath problems in 2026?

Feb 2, 11:54 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

5.88%chance

8405

OptionVotes

YES

NO

400

25

Will molecular jackhammers have at least 50% tumour-free efficacy in Phase 2 clinical trials?

Dec 31, 4:21 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

20%chance

10274

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1035

975

Which country will cese to exist first | Taiwan vs Moldova | Country faceoff

Jan 16, 8:59 PMJan 20, 4:59 AM

00

OptionProbability

Taiwan

Moldova

50

50

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